Petflation 2026 – March Update: All Pet Prices Reach Record Highs
It’s time to continue with 2026 Inflation. The Consumer Price Index peaked back in June 2022 at 9.1% then began to slow until it turned up in Jul/Aug 2023. Prices fell in Oct>Dec 23, then turned up Jan>Oct 24 but fell in Nov. However, they rose 10 straight months to a record high in Sep 25, fell Oct>Dec, then rose in Jan>Mar (New Records). The CPI vs last year rose to 3.3% from 2.4% because of a 1% Feb>Mar lift. Grocery prices fell slightly, -0.04% from Feb and their YOY inflation slowed to 1.9% from 2.4%. Even minor price changes can affect consumer pet spending, especially in the discretionary pet segments, so we will continue to publish monthly reports to track petflation as it evolves in the market.
Petflation was +4.1% in Dec 21 while the overall CPI was +7.0%. The gap narrowed as Petflation accelerated. It was 96.7% of the national rate in June 22. National inflation has slowed considerably, but Petflation generally increased until June 23. It passed the CPI in July 22, fell below it from Apr>Jul 24. It passed the CPI in Aug, fell below in Sep>Oct, rose above in Nov, fell below in Dec>Aug 25, then passed it in Sep>Oct & Dec>Mar 26. All reports will include:
- A rolling 24 month tracking of the CPI for all pet segments and the national CPI. The base number will be pre-pandemic December 2019 in this and future reports, which will facilitate comparisons.
- Monthly comparisons of 26 vs 25 which will include Pet Segments and relevant Human spending categories. Plus
- CPI change from the previous month.
- Inflation changes for recent years (25>26, 24>25, 23>24, 22>23, 21>22, 20>21, 19>20, 18>19)
- Total Inflation for the current month in 2026 vs 2019 and vs 2021 to see the full inflation surge.
- Average annual Year Over Year inflation rate from 2019 to 2026
- YTD comparisons
- YTD numbers for the monthly comparisons #2>4 above
In our first graph we will track the monthly change in prices for the 24 months from Mar 24 to Mar 26. We will use December 2019 as a base number so we can track the progress from pre-pandemic times through an eventual recovery. This chart is designed to give you a visual image of the flow of pricing. You can see the similarities and differences in segment patterns and compare them to the overall U.S. CPI. The year-end numbers from 12 and 24 months earlier are included. We also included and highlighted (pink) the cumulative price peak for each segment. In Mar, Total Pet prices were up 0.8% from Feb. All segments were up & peaked. Supplies (+1.7%), Vet (+0.7%), Food (+0.4%), Services (+0.4%).
In Mar 24, the CPI was +21.5% and Pet was +24.0%. The Services segments inflated after mid-20, while Product inflation stayed low until late 21. In 22, Food prices grew but the others had mixed patterns until July 22, when all rose. In Aug>Oct Petflation took off. In Nov>Dec, Services & Food inflated while Vet & Supplies prices stabilized. In Jan>Apr 23, prices grew every month for all segments except for 1 Supplies dip. In May Products prices grew while Services slowed. In Jun/Jul this reversed. In Aug all but Services fell. In Sep/Oct this flipped. In Nov, all but Food & Vet fell. In Dec, Supp. & Vet drove prices up. In Jan>Mar 24 Pet prices grew. In April, prices in all but Vet fell. In May, all but Food grew. In June, Products drove a lift. In July, all but Services fell. In Aug, Food drove a drop. In Sep, Products fueled a drop. In Nov all were up. Prices dropped in Mar & Oct>Nov 25, then rose Dec>Mar 26. All, including the CPI, set records in March 26.
- U.S. CPI – Inflation was below 2% through 2020. It turned up in January 21 and grew until flattening out in Jul>Dec 22. Prices rose Jan>Sep 23, fell Oct>Dec, rose Jan>Oct 24, fell Nov, rose Dec>Sep 25, fell Nov>Dec, but hit record highs in Jan/Feb/Mar 26. 25% of the lift since Dec 19 happened from Jan>Jun 22 – 8% of the time.
- Pet Food – Prices were at the Dec 19 level Apr 20> Sep /21. They grew & peaked May 23, then got on a roller which continues Jun/Jul↑, Aug↓, Sep↔, Oct/Nov ↓, Dec>Mar↑ – a new record. 93% of the lift was in 22/23.
- Pet Supplies – Supplies prices were high in Dec 19 due to tariffs. They had a deflated roller coaster ride until mid-21 when they returned to Dec 19 prices & stayed there until 22. They turned up in Jan (record). They plateaued Feb>May, grew in June, flattened in July, then turned up in Aug>Oct to a new record. Prices stabilized Nov>Dec, grew Jan>Feb 23. fell in Mar, but the roller coaster hasn’t stopped. Jan>Feb 25↓, Mar>May↑, Jun↓, Jul↑, Aug↓, Sep↑, Oct>Nov↓, Dec↑(record), Jan 26↓, Feb>Mar↑. Prices are now at a new record high.
- Pet Services– Inflation is usually 2+%. Perhaps due to closures, prices increased at a lower rate in 2020. In 2021 consumer demand increased but with fewer outlets. Inflation grew in 21 with the biggest lift in Jan>Apr. Inflation was strong in 22 but prices got on a roller coaster. They turned up Jul>Apr 23, fell May. Jun>Aug↑, Sep>Dec↓, Jan>Mar 24↑, Apr↓, May↑, Jun↓, Jul>Nov↑, Dec>Mar 25↓, Apr>Aug↑, Sep↓, Oct>Mar 26↑(record).
- Veterinary – Inflation has been consistent. Prices turned up in Mar 20 and grew through 21. A surge began in Dec 21 which put them above the overall CPI. In May/Jun 22 prices fell below the CPI. However, they rose again & have been above the CPI since July 22. In 23>25 prices grew Jan>May, leveled Jun/Jul, fell Aug, grew Sep>Dec, fell Jan, grew Feb>May, fell Jun>Jul, grew Aug 24>Sep 25, fell Oct>Nov, grew Dec>Mar 26. (records)
- Total Pet – Petflation is a sum of the segments. In Dec 21 the price surge began. In Mar>Jun 22 the segments had ups & downs, but Petflation grew Jul>Nov, slowed Dec, grew Jan>May 23, fell Jun>Aug, grew Sep/Oct, fell in Nov. In December prices grew through Mar 24 to a record high. Prices fell in April, rose May>Jun, fell Jul>Sep, rose Oct>Nov, fell Dec, rose Jan>Feb 25, fell Mar, grew Apr>Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec>Mar 26 (record)
Next, we’ll turn our attention to the Year Over Year inflation rate change for March and compare it to last month, last year and to previous years. We will also show total inflation from 21>26 & 19>26. Petflation rose from 2.5% to 3.5% in Sep, fell to 2.6% in Nov, then rose to 3.5% in Dec. In Mar it is 4.3%, 30.3% above the National CPI. The chart will allow you to compare the inflation rates of 25>26 to 24>25 and other years but also see how much of the total inflation since 2019 came from the current surge. We’ve included some human categories to put the pet numbers into perspective.
Overall, prices were up 1.0% from Feb and were +3.3% vs Mar 25, up from 2.4% last month. Grocery prices dropped, -0.04% and inflation slowed to +1.9% from 2.4%. Haircut prices were also down from last month. In Feb, there were no drops. In Dec & Jan there was 1. In Nov there were 6 drops. The national YOY monthly CPI rate of 3.3% is up 37.5% from 24>25 but it’s 61% less than 21>22. The 25>26 rate is above 24>25 for all but Vet, Groceries & Haircuts. In our 2021>2025 measurement you also can see that over 80% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 has occurred in all but 4 segments, Haircuts, Medical, Vet, Pet Services. Service Segments have generally had higher inflation rates so there was a smaller pricing lift in the recent strong increase. Pet Products have a very different pattern. The 21>26 inflation surge provided 98% of their overall inflation since 2019. This happened because Pet Products prices in 2021 were still recovering from a deflationary period. Services expenditures account for 64.0% of the National CPI so they are very influential. Their current CPI is +3.1% while the CPI for Commodities jumped up from 1.2% to 3.4%. Services are the usual inflation driver, but Commodities are behind the current increase. The situation in Pet is closer to the “normal” national situation. Petflation: 4.3%. The CPI for the 2 Service Segments is 5.6%. The Pet Products CPI is 3.1%.
- U.S. CPI– Prices are +1.0% from Feb. The YOY increase is 3.3%, up from 2.4% in Feb. It peaked at +9.1% back in June 2022. The targeted inflation rate is <2% so we are now 65+% higher than the target. The lift follows stability in Feb, a lift in Jan, stability in Dec and 2 drops in Oct & Nov. The current rate is 37.5% above 24>25 and the 21>26 rate is +24.7%, 82.6% of the total inflation since 2019. The Inflation surge was just starting in March 2021, +2.6%
- Pet Food– Prices are +0.4% vs Feb. and +2.3% vs Mar 25, up from 1.4%. They are now 21% above the Food at Home inflation rate of +1.9%. Remember that the YOY Pet Food CPI has deflated in 15 of the last 25 months. The 2021>2026 inflation surge has generated 93.6% of the 26.7% inflation since 2019. Inflation began for Pet Food in June 2021, +0.9%, after 12 straight deflationary months. Pet Food prices just reached a new record high.
- Food at Home – Prices are -0.04% from Feb and the YOY increase fell from 2.4% to 1.9%. This is radically lower than Jul>Sep 2022 when it exceeded 13%. The 31.4% Inflation for this category since 2019 is 5% more than the national CPI but is only in 5th place behind 3 Services expenditures and Total Pet. 82.5% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26. This is about the same as the CPI, but we should note that Grocery prices began inflating in 2020>21 then the rate accelerated. It appears that the pandemic supply chain issues in Food which contributed to higher prices started early and foreshadowed problems in other categories and the overall CPI tsunami.
- Pets & Supplies– Prices were +1.7% from Feb and YOY inflation rose to +3.5% from 1.8%. They still have the lowest rate vs 2019. Prices were deflated for much of 20>21. As a result, the 2021>26 inflation surge accounted for 111.0% of the total price increase since 2019. Prices set a record in Oct 22 then deflated. 3 lifts pushed them to a record high in Feb 23. Prices fell in Mar & the roller coaster continued into 25. They fell Jan/Feb 25, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec (record), fell in Jan, rose Feb>Mar – a new record.
- Veterinary Services– Prices are +0.7% from Feb and 5.6% from 2025, up from 5.3%. They are #2 in inflation vs last year, behind Pet Serv. but still #1 in the increase since 2019, +55.5% and 21, +43.9%. For Veterinary, high annual inflation is the norm. However, the rate has increased during the current surge, especially since 23. They have the highest Mar avg rate in 26, but only 79% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26.
- Medical Services – Prices turned sharply up at the start of the pandemic but then inflation slowed and fell to a low rate in 20>21. Prices rose +0.1% from Feb, but inflation vs last year slowed to +3.7% from +4.1%. Medical Services are not a big part of the current surge as only 58.5% of the 22.9%, 2019>26 increase happened from 21>26.
- Pet Services – Inflation slowed in 20 but grew in 21. In 24 prices surged , especially in Jul>Nov. Prices fell Dec>Mar 25 to 3.9%. Apr grew, May fell, June rose, Jul rose to 6.3%. Inflation fell to 5.8% in Aug & to 4.2% in Nov. In Dec>Mar 26 it rose to 7.8%. They are #1 vs 25 and #2 vs 21 & 19. 76.9% of their 19>25 inflation is from 21>26.
- Haircuts/Other Personal Services – Prices are -0.3% from Feb but +4.5% from Mar 25. 20 of the last 27 months have been 4.0+%. Inflation has been pretty consistent. 68.1% of the 19>26 inflation happened 21>26.
Total Pet– Petflation rose to 4.3% from 3.3%. Only Veterinary & Pet Services had a higher rate. It is 3.3 times the 24>25 rate and 30.3% more than the current U.S. CPI. Plus, it is 43.3% above the 3.0% average March rate since 1997. Feb prices rose 0.8%, driven by all. The Feb>Mar increase was well above the 0.3% 97>25 average change, but expected. Since 1997, there have been only 5 Feb>Mar price drops. Another factor in the current CPI lift was that prices fell 0.2% in Feb>Mar 25. The recovery definitely slowed. Now, we’ll look at YTD data.
The 25>26 rate is equal to or higher than 24>25 for all, but Veterinary. The 22>23 inflation rate was the highest for Tot Pet, Pet Food, Groceries & Pet Services. 21>22 has the highest rate for Pet Supplies & the Natl CPI. 23>24: Vet; 20>21: Haircuts; 19>20: Medical Services. The average national inflation rate in the 7 years since 2019 is 3.8%. Only 3 of the categories are below that rate – Medical Services (3.0%), Pet Supplies (1.9%) and Pet Food (3.4%). It is no surprise that Veterinary Services has the highest average rate (6.5%), but all 4 other categories are +4.0% or higher.
- U.S. CPI – The 25>26 rate is 2.7%, the same as 24>25 but down 16% from 23>24. It is also 66.2% less than 21>22 and 29% below the average increase from 2019>2026. However, it’s still 45% more than the average increase from 2018>21. 83% of the 29.5% inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26. Inflation is a problem that started recently.
- Pet Food – Ytd prices are still inflating, 1.7%, up from 1.4%. That’s a big increase from -0.5% in 24>25, but it is still below 3.0% in 23>24 and even the 2.0% 18>20 average. Pet Food has the highest 22>23 rate but is only #6 in the 21>26 rates and #8 in 19>26. Deflation in the 1st half of 2021 kept YTD prices low then they surged in 22 and especially in 23. 92% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26.
- Food at Home – The 25>26 inflation rate is the same as 24>25, but at 2.1%, it is down 89% from 22>23, 76% from 21>22 and even 40% less than 20>21. However, it is 2.1 times higher than the average rate from 2018>20. It is only in 5th place for the highest inflation since 2019 but still beat the U.S. CPI by 7.1%. You can see the impact of supply chain issues on the Grocery category as 82% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26.
- Pets & Pet Supplies – A roller coaster, prices rose Jan>Feb 24, fell Mar>Apr, rose May>Jun, fell July, rose Aug, fell Sep>Oct, rose Nov>Dec, fell Jan>Feb 25, then rose Mar>May. Prices vs 24 flipped to deflation in June, back to +0.7% in July, fell to 0.0% in Aug, rose Sep>Dec, fell Jan 26, rose Feb>Mar. Supplies still have the lowest inflation since 2019. Their biggest YOY lifts since 2019 were in 22 & 23. The 2021 deflation created an unusual situation. Prices are up 13.8% from 2019 but 112% of this lift happened from 21>25. Prices are up 15.5% from their 2021 “bottom”.
- Veterinary Services – Inflation was high in 2019 and steadily grew until it took off in late 2022. The rate may have peaked in 2023, but it is still going strong in 2026, +6.1%, the 2nd highest on the chart. However, they are still #1 in inflation since 2019 and since 2021. At +6.5%, they have the highest average inflation rate since 2019. It is 71% higher than the National Average but 2.2 times higher than the Inflation average for Medical Services. Strong Inflation is the norm in Veterinary Services.
- Medical Services – Prices went up significantly at the beginning of the pandemic, but inflation slowed in 2021. In Mar 2026 it is 3.9%, 30% above the 3.0% 2019>26 average rate. We should also note that 3.9% is 3 times higher than the 1.3% low point in 23>24.
- Pet Services – After falling in late 2023, prices surged in 2024, then fell in 2025 until an Apr>Aug lift followed by a Sep>Nov dip and a Dec>Mar 26 lift. The 25>26 6.9% CPI is #1 on the chart, passing Veterinary. It is 35% above their 19>26 avg and more than double their 2018>20 avg. Pet Services is also 2nd in both 19>26 and 21>26 inflation.
- Haircuts & Personal Services – The services segments, essential & non-essential, were hit hardest by the pandemic. The industry responded by raising prices. 2026 inflation is 4.8%, 15.8% below its 20/21 peak, but 47.7% above the 18>20 average. Consumers are paying over 35% more than in 2019, which usually reduces the purchase frequency.
- Total Pet – Petflation is 3.7%, up 95% from 24>25, but 7.5% less than 23>24. However, It’s 63 % more than their 18>21 avg and 37% above the CPI. Petflation is growing again. Except for Mar/Aug/Oct/Nov, Pet prices rose in 25, which continued in Jan>Mar 26. This is primarily being driven by a flip from deflation to inflation in Pet Products and continued strong inflation in Services, especially Non-Vet.
The Petflation recovery paused in Aug 24, came back Sep>Oct, paused in Nov, resumed in Dec>Jan 25, paused in Feb, restarted in Mar and paused Apr>Sep. It improved Oct/Nov but paused in Dec>Mar 26. We tend to focus on the monthly, YOY inflation in the current year and ignore the fact that inflation is cumulative. Pet prices are 29.0% above 2021 and 33.8% higher than 2019. Those are big lifts. In fact, March prices for the National CPI, Total Pet and all pet segments reached new record highs. Only Supplies prices (+15.4%) are less than 26.7% higher than 2019. Since price/value is the biggest driver in consumer spending, inflation will affect the Pet Industry. Services will be the least impacted as it is the most driven by high income CUs. Veterinary will continue to see a reduction in visit frequency. Pet Parents will just pay more. The product segments will see a more complex reaction. Supplies are more discretionary so we will likely see a reduction in purchase frequency. In Pet Food, the most needed segment, some Pet Parents may even choose to downgrade their Pet Food. However, the biggest impact in both product segments will be a strong movement to online purchasing and private label. We saw proof of this at both GPE 25 & SZ 25 as a huge # of exhibitors offer OEM services. At GPE 26, this trend continued. Strong, cumulative inflation has a widespread impact. We’ll continue to monitor the situation.















































