Spending, CPI, demographics of overall market

2024 Total Pet Spending was $118.87B – Where did it come from…?

Total Pet Spending in the U.S. was $118.87B in 2024, a $1.27B (1.1%) increase from 2023. These figures and others in this report are calculated from data in the annual Consumer Expenditure Survey conducted by the US BLS. In 2023, the Binge/Bust pattern was over. Even with 8% inflation, all segments had an increase in spending. The lifts for Supplies & Services were small, but the Food & Vet lifts were huge. This produced the 3rd largest lift in history. 2024 was a big change. Again Services & Supplies had small lifts & the Vet increase was huge but together they just barely made up for the -$5.5B drop in Food to generate a 1.1% Total Pet $. This is mediocre but the real situation was even worse. Petflation fell from 8% in 23 to 2.6% in 24. The 1.1% lift was really a -1.5% drop in amount sold. 2024 deserves a closer look!

The first question is, “Who is spending most of the $118.87 billion dollars?” There are of course multiple answers. We will first look at Total Pet Spending in terms of 10 demographic categories. In each category we will identify the group that is responsible for most of the overall spending. Our goal was to find demographic segments in each category that account for 60% or more of the total. To get the finalists, we started with the biggest spending segment then bundled it with related groups until we reached at or near 60%.

Knowing the specific group within each demographic category that was responsible for generating the bulk of Total Pet $ is the first step in our analysis. Next, we will drill even deeper to show the best and worst performing demographic segments/groups and finally, the segments that generated the biggest dollar gains or losses in 2024.

In the chart that follows, the demographic categories are ranked by Total Pet market share from highest to lowest. We also included their share of total CU’s (Financially Independent Consumer Units) and their performance rating. Performance is their share of market vs their share of CU’s. This is an important number, not just for measuring the impact of a particular demographic group, but also in measuring the importance of the whole demographic category in Spending. All are large groups with a high market share. A performance score of 120+% means that this demographic is extremely important in generating increased Pet Spending. I have highlighted the 7 groups with 120+% performance.

There were 4 group changes from 23. Urban, 2>4 CUs, 1 or 2 Earner CUs & 35>64 replaced Suburb/Rural, 2+ CUs, Everyone Works & 35>74. There were also changes in the numbers and rankings. No category in 2024 is ranked the same as in 2023. In 2024, 7 made the 120%+ club, up from 5 in 22 & 23. CU Size & # of Earners were added to the group. Formal higher education & marriage matter, but higher income remains the single most important factor in Total Pet Spending.

  1. Housing – Homeowners (81.6%) up from 81.2%. Controlling your “own space” is a key to larger pet families and more pet spending. 2024 was a good year for Homeowners, with & without Mtges. Homeowners spent $3.3B more and the group’s performance rose from 122.4% to 125.7%. A big factor in the increase was a $2.02B drop in spending by Renters. Homeowners moved up from 5th place to 4th in importance. There were some minor changes and the homeownership rate fell slightly from 65.1% to 64.9%. Those w/o a Mortgage rose from 27.3% to 28.0%.
  2. Race/Ethnic – White, not Hispanic (81.3%) down from 82.5%. This is the 2nd largest group in size and in share of Pet Spending. Their performance was down from 124.4% to 123.0% and they dropped from #4 to #6 in importance. Although this demographic, along with age, are 2 areas in which the consumers have no control, spending disparities within the group are enhanced by differences in other areas like Income, CU Composition and homeownership. There are also apparently cultural differences which impact Pet Spending. Asian Americans are first in income, education and total CU spending but they’re last in Pet Spending as a percentage of total spending – 0.52% vs a national average of 1.12%.
  3. Area – Urban: Suburban/Ctr City (80.8%) down from 81.0%. Homeownership is high in the Suburbs but low in the city. The Suburbs had a -0.72% drop in CUs. Center City gained +0.52% and Rural was +2.0%.This combination pushed Urban performance up from 91.3% to 93.1%. Center City still has the worst performance at 82.4%
  4. Income – Over $70K (74.2%) up from 70.0%. They gained share and their performance grew to 141.8% from 138.6%. A factor in the disparity was a 4.6% lift in $70K> CUs. CU income is still the most important factor in increased Pet Spending. Spending was up for all groups $40>99K & $150K>. $150K> had the biggest lift, +$5.5B, over 13%. $70K> was up +7.2%. Income matters. $100K>: 37.9% of CUs, 59.4% of Pet $. $150K>: 21.7% of CUs, 39.5% Pet $
  5. # in CU – 2>4 people (72.5%) up from 69.8%. Singles still have by far the worst performance. In 2024, there was a slight 0.3% drop in single & 5+ CUs, but they spent 7.9% less on their pets. At the same time, 2>4 people CUs spent 5.0% more. This explains the big lift in share and a strong performance of 120.4%.
  6. Occupation – All Wage & Salary Earners (65.7%) up from 64.7%. Their performance also rose slightly from 106.2% to 106.3%. Only Managers/Professionals & “All Other” spent more on their pets in 2024. Even Retirees and Self-Employed spent less on their pets in 2024, while both had double digit % increases in 2023. With a $5.85B lift, Mgrs & Profess. were the drivers behind in the slight improvement in 2024. BTW: “All Other”, includes unemployed and those not working because of illness or attending school.
  7. Education – College Grads (64.1%) up from 60.6%. Higher Education is usually tied to higher income and Pet spending. It can also be a key factor in recognizing the value in product improvements. In 2022 the Education group was expanded to hit the 60% share goal. In 2023/24, big lifts in the Veterinary segment returned Grads to the list. Their 2024 performance rose from 126.7% to 133.3% and they are now #2 in importance. In Education, only <Assoc’ Degree spent less. The gain in share and in performance came entirely from those with a formal after HS degree.
  8. CU Composition – Married Couples (63.8%) up from 61.4%. 2 people, committed to each other, is an ideal situation for Pet Parenting. In 2024, they gained share and their performance rose from 127.4% to 132.9%, but they fell to 3rd place in importance behind Income & College Grads. Their increases in share and performance were due to big spending increases by Couples Only and CUs with a child over 18.
  9. # Earners – 2+ CUs, 1 or 2 Earners (61.7%) up from 58.4%. These are 2+ people CUs where 1 or 2 adults are employed. They gained share and their performance rose from 116.3% to 123.2%. They joined the 120+% club but are only the 5th most important category. Income is important but # of Earners is less so. Only 2 Earners spent more. The lifts were entirely due to a $5.97B increase by 2 Earner CUs.
  10. Age – 35>64 (61.6%) up from 58.6%. They gained share and their performance rose from 112.3% to 118.9%. Only the 35>54 & 75+ Age groups spent more but the lift of the 45>54 group was the biggest, $3.0B. The <25 and 65>74 groups had the biggest drops. Due to the big lift from 45>54, the group was reduced from 35>74. However, Pet Spending is still relatively balanced by age group and age stayed 8th in importance.

Total Pet Spending is a sum of the spending in all four industry segments. The “big demographic spenders” listed above are determined by the total pet numbers. The share of spending and performance of these groups varies between segments. In fact, in every segment but Supplies we altered at least 1 group (4 in Pet Food) to better reflect where most of the business is coming from. There was turmoil & less balance, but in 2024 Total Pet Spending was still positive.

Performance is an important measurement. Any group that exceeds 120% indicates an increased concentration of the business which makes it easier for marketing to target the big spenders. Income over $70K is again the clear winner, but there are other strong performers. High performance also indicates the presence of segments within these categories that are seriously underperforming. These can be identified and targeted for improvement. In 2020>2022 many of the big lifts and drops in spending came from a series of buying binge/busts which affected every segment. In 23/24 the only affected segments were Food & Vet. All segments but Food had at least a small increase in 2024, but the spending turmoil continued.

Now, let’s drill deeper and look at 2024’s best and worst performing segments in each demographic category.

Most of the best and worst performers are expected but there are 4 winners & 2 losers that are different from 2023 – 1 less loser than last year. The situation is definitely becoming more normal. Changes from 2023 are “boxed”.

  • Income is important in Pet Spending, which is shown by the 190.5% performance by the $200K> group and wins by the high income 2 Earners, Mgrs/Prof, Adv College Degrees & Gen X. All groups over $100K performed at 100+%.
  • Occupation – Tech/Sls/Cler, Mgrs/Professionals & Self-Employed are still the only occupations with 100+% performance. Blue Collar (59.8%) replaced Service Workers at the bottom.
  • Age/Generation: Gen X won again but spending moved towards their younger members. <25 moved to the bottom
  • Region – The West stayed on top. The Midwest also had 100+% performance.
  • CU Size/Composition – The importance of marriage was maintained with wins by 2 People and couples with an Oldest Child 18>. Single Parents stayed on the bottom. The “magic” CU number continues to fall – from 3 to 2.

The winners reflect the continued move back towards more normal spending patterns, but from slightly younger CUs. In the next section we’ll look at the segments which literally made the biggest difference in spending in 2024.

We’ll “Show you the money”! This chart details the biggest $ changes in spending from 2023.

In 2023 there were 6 categories in which all segments spent more. In 2024, there were none. However, there was a little more stability. 6 segments held their spot from 2023 and 5 flipped from 1st to last or vice versa.  In 2023, 4 segments were stable and 3 flipped. 75% were different from last year, considerably less than 83.3% in 2023 and 87.5% in 2022. We should also note that with 2.6% inflation, the 1.1% Total Pet lift was really a -1.5% drop.

  • # Earners – Only 2+ CUs with 2 Earners or No Earner spent more.
    • Winner – 2 Earners, 2+ CU – Pet Spending: $53.53B; Up $5.97B (+12.6%)                                       2023: 2 Earners, 2+ CU
    • Loser – 1 Earner, Single – Pet Spending: $14.05B; Down -$1.76B (-11.1%)                                         2023: 3 Earners
    • Comment – Other Big Drops – No Earner, Singles: -$1.59B; 1 Earner, 2+CU: -$1.32B
  • Occupation – Both the Winner & Loser are new.
    • Winner – Managers & Professionals – Pet Spending: $46.93B; Up $5.85B (+14.2%)                      2023: Retired
    • Loser – Tech/Sales/Clerical – Pet Spending: $16.15B; Down -$2.14B (-11.7%)                                  2023: Blue Collar
    • Comment– Unemployed/All other had the only other increase, +$0.92B.
  • Generations – With a lift in all segments, the highest income Gen Xers returned to the top of the chart.
    • Winner Gen X – Pet Spending: $39.88B; Up $4.51B (+12.8%)                                                             2023: Millennials
    • Loser – Baby Boomers – Pet Spending: $33.55B; Down -$5.71B (-14.5%)                                           2023: Born <1946
    • Comment – Millennials had the 2nd biggest lift and Gen Z had the only other drop besides Boomers.
  • Education – A clear divide – Associate’s degree & above spent more. All others spent less.
    • Winner – Advanced Degree – Pet Spending: $38.14B; Up $4.43B (+13.1%)                                      2023: BA/BS Degree
    • Loser – HS Grad w/some College – Pet Spending: $16.73B; Down -$1.84B (-9.9%)                       2023: Associate’s Degree
    • Comment – The lift for BA/BS (+$0.55B) & Assoc. degree (+$0.20B) were small. The 2nd  biggest drop (-$1.66B) was by those w/o a High School Diploma. College matters. Only College Grads have 100+% performance.
  • Region – The South flipped from last in 23 to 1st in 24.
    • Winner – South – Pet Spending: $40.62B; Up $4.24B (+11.6%)                                                            2023: Northeast
    • Loser – Midwest – Pet Spending: $25.38B; Down -$2.72B (-9.7%)                                                       2023: South
    • Comment – The South was up in all segments. The Midwest was down in Products but up in Services. There were 2 Regions that spent more and 2 that spent less. Northeast: +$1.13B; West: -$1.38B.
  • CU Composition – The importance of marriage in Pet Spending was reinforced.
    • Winner – Married, Child 18> – Pet Spending: $14.858; Up $3.96B (+36.4%)                                  2023: Married, Couple Only
    • Loser – Singles – Pet Spending: $20.50B; Down -$3.35B (-14.0%)                                                       2023: Single Parent
    • Comment – Only Married, Couple Only or those with no children <6 spent more. All others spent less. Married, Couple Only had the 2nd biggest lift: +$1.45B; #2 Drop was Married w/others: -$1.09B.
  • # in CU – 2 People is a repeat winner, but 1 Person replaced 4 People on the bottom.
    • Winner – 2 People – Pet Spending: $48.68B; Up $3.56B (+7.9%)                                                        2023: 2 People
    • Loser – 1 Person – Pet Spending: $20.50B; Down -$3.35B (-14.0%)                                                    2023: 4 People
    • Comment: Only 1 & 3 people CUs spent less. 3 People were -$0.85B. The bigger CUs had increases. 4 People were the 2nd best, +$1.35B (+9.2%); 5+ People: +$0.54B (+4.6%).
  • Income – $200K> is a repeat winner but the lowest income group is now the biggest loser.
    • Winner – $200K> – Pet Spending: $27.59B; Up $3.18B (+13.0%)                                                        2023: $200K>
    • Loser – <$30K – Pet Spending: $8.42B; Down -$2.92B (-31.9%)                                                            2023: $40>49K
    • Comment – All incomes $40K>, but $100>149K had spending lifts. All <$40K spent less. $150>199K had the 2nd largest lift, +$2.36B, but $70>99K was also +$1.09B. $30>39K was -$2.16B. All performances $70K> =100+%
  • Age – The 2023 winner and loser both flipped in 2024.
    • Winner – 45>54 yrs – Pet Spending: $25.53B; Up $3.02B (+13.4%)                                                     2023: 65>74 yrs
    • Loser – 65>74 yrs – Pet Spending: $17.01B; Down -$2.70B (-13.7%)                                                     2023: 45>54 yrs
    • Comment: Only 25>54 & 75+ had lifts. The #2 lift was +$1.32B by 35>44. The #2 drop was -$1.32B by <25.
  • Housing – Homeowners w/Mtge returned to the top, but Renters replaced those w/o Mtge on the bottom.
    • Winner – Homeowner w/Mtge – Pet Spending: $65.24B; Up $1.80B (+2.8%)                                2023: Homeowner w/Mtge
    • Loser – Renters – Pet Spending: $21.92B; Down -$2.02B (-8.4%)                                                        2023: Homeowner w/o Mtge
    • Comment – Homeowners w/Mtge returned to their usual spot on top. Renters took their expected place as the big loser. We should note that Homeowners w/o a Mtge were up $1.49B, +4.9%.
  • Area Type – Both winner and loser held their positions for the 3rd straight year.
    • Winner – Suburbs 2500> – Pet Spending: $55.09B; Up $2.78B (+2.6%)                                           2023: Suburbs 2500>
    • Loser – Rural Areas <2500 – Pet Spending: $29.44B; Down -$1.23B (-4.0%)                                  2023: Rural Areas <2500
    • Comment – The same winner and loser for 3 consecutive years – stability. However, 2024 was a little different. For the 1st time since 2021, the loser had a drop in spending. Note: Center City had a $1.12B (+3.4%) lift.
  • Race/Ethnic – After stability in 2023, the Winner and Loser flipped in 2024.
    • Winner – Asians – Pet Spending: $3.92B; Up $0.73B (+22.8%)                                                             2023: White, Not Hispanic
    • Loser – White, Not Hispanic – Pet Spending: $96.58B; Down -$0.48B (-0.5%)                              2023: Asian
    • Comment – Only Whites spent less. Hispanics were up $0.61B (+5.2%). African Amer. were +$0.40B (+7.1%).

We’ve seen the best overall performers and the “winners” and “losers” in terms of increase/decrease in Total Pet Spending $ for 12 Demographic Categories. Now, here are some segments that didn’t win an award, but they deserve….

HONORABLE MENTION

2024 was not a good year for segments that are usually at or near the bottom in Pet Spending. Most stayed there but a few did well. Millennials are high profile, but they didn’t win. Their $2.7B lift should be noted. The oldsters, 75+ are still around and pet committed as shown by their 10.5% spending lift. Homeowners w/o Mtges had a 69% bigger % lift than those w/Mtge. African American have low income and low pet ownership, but they found a way to spend more on all but food. The below avg $70>99K income group makes few headlines but they spent $1.09B more on their pets. Center City has a lot of people but fewer pets due to less space. They are down in Products but a big lift in Veterinary & Services pushed them up $1.12B. Our thanks go to all 6.

Summary

We’ll start with recent history. Pet Spending reached $78.60B in 2018, a $14.28B, +22.2% lift from 2014. It was not a steady rise, Spending fell in 2016 and each segment had at least one down year. There were a number of driving factors  Positives: The move to super premium foods and the increase in Services outlets. Negatives: Value shopping, trading segment $ and outside influences like the FDA Dog Food warning and tariffs on Supplies. Inflation/deflation was also a factor in some cases.

In 2019, there was a -$0.16B (-0.2%) decrease, driven by a big drop in Supplies $ due to Tarifflation. Almost all buyers were affected & Supplies $ fell below 2014. Services $ also fell due to value shopping. The good news was that Pet Food bounced back from the impact of the 2018 FDA warning to reach a new record high. Veterinary $ also increased 2.7%. Unfortunately, this was entirely due to a 4.1% increase in prices. The amount of Vet Services sold actually decreased.

That brings us to 2020 and the Pandemic turmoil. The effect was positive for Food and Veterinary, especially Food. Out of fear of shortages, many Pet Parents binge bought Pet Food. Spending also increased in Veterinary, as consumers focused on their Pets’ needs. The discretionary segments suffered. Supplies prices stayed high, so spending continued to decline. Services saw the biggest negative pandemic impact as many outlets were subject to closures and restrictions.

In 2021 the marketplace returned to “normal”. The Food binge buying wasn’t repeated, but Pet Parents caught up with all their “children’s” wants and needs. This produced a big increase in Total Pet (+$16.23B) and in all segments but Food. Spending skewed younger and to more traditional winners, like Homeowners w/Mtges and Incomes over $200K.

In 2022, big lifts in Food & Services overcame binge drops in Vet and Supplies and produced a 2.7% increase in  $. 72% of 96 demographics spent more, down from 83% in 2021. Spending became  more balanced with strong performances from <College, Blue Collar, African Americans & Gen Z. Income is still important as Gen X stayed on top. Spending also skewed a little older towards the older Gen Xers, 45>54 yr olds. Baby Boomers are still the “heart” of the Pet Industry, but Gen X will likely lead CU spending for a number of years, until they are eventually displaced by the Millennials.

In 2023 Total Pet Spending took off, up $14.89B (+14.5%) to $117.6B. All segments had increases. The lifts in the more discretionary segments – Services & Supplies, were small but the Food & Veterinary lifts were huge. The Food increase even set a new record. The lift was widespread as 91% of 96 demographic segments spent more. Even considering 8% inflation, 78% spent more. Income is still the most important factor in all segments but Food and growing in importance. However, 2023 became a little more balanced in many categories, especially Age. Also, many underperforming segments, like Singles and Renters, had big increases. 2023 was a great year and Gen X still spent the most Pet $ per CU.

2024 was mediocre. A big increase in Vet spending along with small lifts in Supplies & Services barely overcame a big drop in Pet Food producing a $1.27B, +1.1% increase in Total Pet $. Only 50% of 96 demographic categories spent more on their pets in 24 – a huge drop from 91% in 2023. Income is #1 in importance for Total & all segments but Food (#2).

Before we go…The Ultimate Total Pet Spending CU in 2024 has 3 people, a married couple, with 1 child who is 18 or over. They are 45>54 yr-old Gen Xers. They are White, but not Hispanic and both work. At least one has an Advanced College Degree and is a Mgr/Professional. They earn $200K+. They still have a mortgage on their house located in a Rural area with a population under 2500 in the West.

2024 U.S. Pet Spending by Generation – Gen X Returns to the Top!

In 2024 Americans spent $118.87B on our companion animals, 1.12% of $10.66T in total expenditures. Pet Spending was up $1.27B (+1.1%), much  less than the $14.89B lift in 23. In fact, with a Petflation rate of 2.6%, it was actually a -1.5% drop in the amount of Products & Services sold. In 2020 Consumers focused on the necessary segments – Food and Veterinary, including a Food buying binge. The discretionary segments, Supplies and Services, suffered until 21 when Food $ fell but all other segments had record increases. In 22, Supplies & Vet $ fell while Food & Services grew. In 23, $ increased in all segments including a record in Food. In 24, a big lift in Veterinary helped overcome a big drop in Food.

In this report we will compare Pet Spending in 2024 vs 2023 for the most popular demographic measurement – by Generation. We will also include historical data going back to 2020. Note: Gen Z first had enough CUs to be recognized as a separate segment in 2019. All data comes from the US BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey.

We’ll start by defining Generations and looking at their share of CUs (Basically Households)

 GENERATIONS DEFINED

Gen Z: Born after 1996

        In 2024, Age 27 or less

Millennials: Born 1981 to 1996

In 2024, Age 28 to 43

Gen X: Born 1965 to 1980

In 2024, Age 44 to 59

Baby Boomers: Born 1946 to 1964

In 2024 Age 60 to 78

Silent/Greatest: Born before 1946

In 2024, Age 79+

  • Baby Boomers still have the largest number of CU’s at 41.5M and 30.6% of the total. They had a 0.2M increase in 2024 but generally have been losing ground. In fact, they have 3.6M fewer CU’s than in 2016.
  • The Oldest Generations will continue to lose CUs primarily due to death or movement to permanent care facilities.
  • Gen X has the third most CUs but they lost 0.6M in 2024.
  • Millennials have the largest number of individuals and now they rank second in the number of CU’s.
  • Gen Z gained 2.2M CUs as more of these youngsters established independent households.

Now let’s look at some key CU Characteristics (Note: Nationally, 1 change; CU Size back to 2.4 from 2.5 in 2023.)

CU size: for Born <1946;# Children: No Change for all; # Earners: Boomers ↓; Homeownership: for Millennials, Boomers & Born <1946; No Mtge:for Gen Z, for all others.

  • CU Size – Nationally, CU size decreased to 2.5 from 2.4. 2+ people CUs account for 69.9% of all U.S. CUs, (up from 69.8% in 2023) and 82.8% of pet $ (up from 79.7%) There were 1.1% more 2+ CUs and they spent 3.9% more on their pets (Natl. Avg: +0.3%). Millennials and now Gen Z are actively building their households. CU size, with all the related responsibilities, again peaks with the Millennials (3.0) as Gen Xers were stable at 2.9. CU size drops as we age but the numbers grew for the oldest group from 1.5 in 2023 to 1.6 in 2024.
  • # Children < 18 – 26.8% of U.S. CU’s have children, down from 27% in 2023 and they generate 32.3% of Pet Spending, up from 30.2%. There was a drop in CUs with an oldest child <6, Single Parents & Singles. The others were up. The increase in Total Pet Spending share was pretty focused. Married couples with an oldest child 18> had the biggest lift, +$3.96B. All CUs without children, but Married Couple only spent less. The net result was CUs with children spent $1.83B more while those without children decreased spending by -$0.56B. There was no change in the # of children per CU, Nationally or by Generation. Millennials, with 1.2 Children per CU, are still the leader and the only generation to average more than 1 child per CU.
  • # Earners – Pet spending is often tied to the number of earners in a CU. In 2024, only 2 segments in the # of Earners category spent more – 2+ CUs, No Earner & 2 earners. 2 Earner CUs spent the most and had the biggest increase, +$5.97B. The only change in count was that Boomers fell to 0.8 from 0.9.
  • Homeownership – Owning and controlling your own space has always been a major factor in increased Pet Ownership and spending. In 2024 homeownership fell slightly from 65.1% to 64.9%. Millennials, Boomers & Born <1946 had increases, while the others were unchanged. The homeowners’ share of Total Pet Spending rose from 79.6% to 81.6%. The increase was very defined. Homeowners’ Pet Spending increased $3.29B (3.5%), while Renters’ fell -$2.02B (-8.4%). We should also note that the percentage of homeowners w/no Mtge increased from 27.3% to 28.0%. All generations had an increase. Boomers had the largest – from 44% to 47%.
    • As expected, Gen Z are the most common renters in society. Homeownership by Millennials has moved up to 54% but it is still only 83% of the national average.
    • Gen Xers have been above the national avg since 2018, and Homeownership generally increases with age.

Next, we’ll compare the Generations to the National Avg.:

In Income, Total CU Spending, Total Pet Spending and the Pet Share of Total CU Spending

CU National Avg: Income – $104,207; Total CU Spending – $78,532; Total Pet Spending – $876.53; Pet Share – 1.12%

  • Income – Gen Xers are still at the top, but their lead fell slightly. Compared to the national average, the income of Boomers and the Silent/Greatest both fell. Millennials’ income beat the national avg in 2020 and continues to grow. The income of Gen Z passed that of the oldest Americans in 2021 and continues to grow, but slower than expected.
  • Total Spending – The Gen Xers make the most and spend the most but it’s not out of line with their income. The Millennials’ increase was almost triple the national lift, so it is now 8.6% above the national average. Boomers’ spending is 88.2% of the national average, down from 90.8%. Due to a big lift in spending compared to income, the oldest group is in a worse position. They are still deficit spending vs their after tax income. With the biggest % increase in Income and spending, the retail importance of Millennials continues to grow.
  • Pet Spending – Boomers had a 14.5% drop so now there are only 2 groups exceeding the national avg. Gen X stayed on top and their lead has grown. Gen Z fell to 58.7% from 75% while the oldest group rose to 56.8% from 50.1%.
  • Pet Spending Share of Total Spending – The national number slowed from 1.13% to 1.12%. The decrease was driven by drops from Boomers & Gen Z. In 2020 Boomers were the only group to spend more than 1% of their total expenditures on their pets. In 2021 only Gen Z spent less than 1% of their total expenditures on their pets. In 2022, only Boomers and Gen X were above 1%. In 2023 & 2024, all but the oldest group & Gen Z are above 1%. Boomers still lead. However, with 0.94% as the lowest score, the strong commitment to their pets by all is very evident.

Now, let’s look at Total Pet Spending by Generation in terms of market share as well as the actual annual $ spent for 2020 through 2024. The 2024 numbers are boxed in red (decrease) or green (increase) to note the change from 2023.

  • With lifts in all segments, Gen X regained the top spot in Pet Spending from Boomers.
  • There are a variety of spending patterns. Spending in the oldest group is low and except for lifts in 2021 & 2024, has been slowly falling. Millennials are the only group with consistent annual growth. Gen X also grew every year until 2020. They came back strong and moved to the top in 2021>22. They fell to #2 in 23 but are back at #1 in 24. The Boomers have been on a rollercoaster because they react strongly to trends and outside influences. In 20 they drove the panic buying of Food. In 21 their spending fell due to a big drop in Food $. In 22 it increased but was still below 2020. In 23, lifts in all but Supplies pushed them back to #1. In 24 the spending pattern reversed & they fell to #3. Gen Z is just getting started. $ are down in 24 but still 3.5 times more than 21. Gen X & Millennials are the leaders
  • In 24, only Gen Z & Boomers spent less. Gen X & Millennials had the biggest lifts.
    • Silent/Greatest: +$0.05B. Boomers: -$5.71B. Gen X: +$4.51B. Millennials: +$2.70B. Gen Z: -$0.28B
  • Gen X – Ave CU spent $1102.84 (+$133.10, 13.7%); 2024 Total Pet Spending = $39.88B, Up $4.51B (+12.8%)
    • 2020>24: Up $15.92B Their annual Pet spending growth since 2015 had been strong and consistent until a drop in 20. In 2021>22 they were #1 in CU Pet spending and Total $. In 23 they fell to #2. In 24 Total $, they are again #1.
  • Millennials – Ave CU spent $940.20 (+$41.42, 4.6%); 2024 Total Pet Spending = $34.87B, Up $2.70B (+8.4%)
    • 2020>24: Up $16.20B; As the income and overall spending of Millennials grows, their pet spending has also grown every year. This younger group has the biggest increase in $ since 2020 of any group, $16.20B, +87%.
  • Boomers – Ave CU spent $808.98 (-$121.35, -13.0%); 2024 Total Pet spending = $33.55B, Down -$5.71B (-14.5%)
    • 2020>24: Down $1.30B; Spending turned down and they fell to #3 in $. Plus, they’re again below 2020. Down -$0.28B (-4.7%)
  • Gen Z – Ave CU spent $514.17 (-$143.59, -21.8%); 2024 Total Pet Spending= $5.66B, Down -$0.28B (-4.7%)
    • 2020>24: Up $4.73B; They’re starting to build H/Hs but are committed Pet Parents. Pet $ are +509% vs 2020.
  • Silent/Greatest – Ave CU spent $498.04 (+$60.24, 13.8%); 2024 Total Pet Spending = $4.90B, Up $0.05B (+1.0%)
    • 2020>24: Down $0.44B; CU Spending was up, but their # of CUs has fallen -34.6% from 2020.

Gen X took back the top spot in Total Pet Spending from Boomers and the spectacular growth ended for Gen Z. Only Boomers & Gen Z spent less, but with 2.6% inflation, Born <46 also really bought less Pet Products & Services in 24.

Let’s look at the individual segments. First, Pet Food…

  • Gen X had the only increase, but they’re still below 2022. Boomers had the biggest drop, but they are still #1 in Pet Food spending. Gen Z & Millennials had double digit percentage drops , but 2024 is still their second-best year.
  • Since 2014, Millennials’ have led the way in food trends, and they are the only group with an annual increase every year 2016>23. Since their spending fell in 24, no group has had a consistent annual lift.
  • Boomers – Ave CU spent $320.12 (-$61.41, -16.1%); 2024 Pet Food spending = $13.24B, Down $3.31B (-20.0%)
    • 2020>2024: Down $6.07B They are still #1 in Total Food $ but they are below their 2020 & 22/23 spending.
  • Millennials – Ave CU spent $281.55 (-$76.92, -21.3%); 2024 Pet Food Spending = $10.65B, Down $2.02B (-15.9%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $3.79B They are the only group with increased spending every year from 2016>23. Their income is growing as is a commitment to their pets. They often pioneer food upgrades. They fell from #2 to #3 in 24.
  • Gen X – Ave CU spent $359.16 (+$38.36, +12.0%); 2024 Pet Food spending = $12.91B, Up $1.48B (+13.0%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $4.62B They reacted to the FDA warning by upgrading their food. No pandemic panic buying. In 2021>22 they were the leader in CU Pet Food Spending. In 2023, they fell to 3rd. In 2024 they moved up to #2 in $, but they are #1 in CU spending.
  • Gen Z – Ave CU spent $154.21 (-$109.85, -41.6%); 2024 Pet Food spending = $1.65B, Down $0.78B (-32.1%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $1.45B; Pets are important to these youngsters. Pet Food spending is +162% from 2021.
  • Silent/Greatest– Ave CU spent $167.43 (-$54.45, -24.5%); 2024 Pet Food spending = $1.59B, Down $0.83B (-34.3%)
    • 2020>2024: Down $0.58B; CU count is -34.6% from 2020 & prices are high, but they are committed to their pets.

Pet Food Spending is driven by trends and outside influences like FDA warnings and COVID. 2023 brought a record increase, but 2024 had a record drop. Boomers still lead but only because they have the most CUs. Now, on to Supplies

  • All groups but Gen Z spent more. Supplies spending again skewed towards the younger, higher income groups. Gen X had the smallest lift but stayed #1. Millennials had the biggest $ lift and stayed #2. Born <1946 had the biggest % lift but Gen Z still spends $0.15B (14.6%) more. In 2022, they spent -$0.02B less.
  • Gen X – Ave CU spent $70 (+$8.60, 4.1%); 2024 Pet Supplies spending = $7.89B, Up $0.18B (+2.3%)
    • 2020>24: Up $2.40B; Gen Xers are again the leader in Supplies spending. They were affected by tarifflation in 2019 but held their ground in 2020. In 2021 spending exploded, fell in 2022, then grew in 2023>24.
  • Millennials – Ave CU spent $194.04 (+$9.51, 5.2%); 2024 Pet Supplies spending = $7.14B, Up $0.48B (+7.2%)
    • 2020>24: Up $3.02B; Millennials earn their share of Supplies $. They were the least impacted by the tariffs in 2019 and spent more in 2020. Their spending then took off in 2021 and has had slow growth in 2022>24.
  • Baby Boomers – Ave CU spent $160.76 (+$3.63, 2.3%); 2024 Pet Supplies spending = $6.68B, Up $0.18B (+2.7%)
    • 2020>24: Up $2.27B In 2020 they focused on Food! In 21 a big lift; 22: +$0.07B; 23: -$0.30B; 24: +$0.18B.
  • Gen Z – Ave CU spent $105.79 (-$65.34, -38.2%); 2024 Pet Supplies spending = $1.18B, Down $0.35B (-22.7%)
    • 2020>24: Up $0.78B; With a big decrease in Food, their drop in Supplies is not surprising. They are often linked.
  • Silent/Greatest– Ave CU spent $102.32 (+$47.06, 85.2%); 2024 Pet Supplies spending = $1.01B, Up $0.40B (+64.1%)
    • 2020>24: Up $0.30B; They were hit hard by COVID & inflation. Small lifts in 21>22. A drop in 23. A big lift in 24.

In 2019, tarifflation drove spending down in all groups. In 2020 Millennials and Gen X spent a little more while the older groups spent a lot less. In 2021 spending took off in all groups. In 2022, only Gen X spent less. In 2023, the older groups spent less, but the younger groups spent more. In 2024, only Gen Z spent less, a widespread, but small lift, +$0.89B.

Next, we’ll turn our attention to the Service Segments. First, Non-Veterinary Pet Services

  • All but the Boomers spent more. Gen X had the biggest increase and stayed #1 in Services $.
  • Gen X – Ave CU spent $145.78 (+$16.29, 12.6%); 2024 Pet Services spending = $5.29B, Up $0.51B (+10.7%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $2.77B; A big drop in 2020. The 2nd biggest lifts in 21>22 but fell to #2. In 23/24 they are again #1.
  • Baby Boomers – Ave CU spent $80.96 (-$22.05, -21.4%); 2024 Pet Services spending = $3.36B, Down $0.90B (-21.1%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $1.17B; A big $ drop in 2020 but the biggest lifts in 21/22. Small lift in 23 & a drop in 24 – #3 in $.
  • Millennials – Ave CU spent $111.41 (+$10.86, 10.8%); 2024 Pet Services spending = $4.10B, Up $0.47B (+13.0%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $2.47B; In 2020 they had the smallest decrease and with the 2021>24 lifts, their spending is now 2.5 times the amount in 2020. They moved up to #2.
  • Silent/Greatest – Ave CU spent $57.56 (+$18.60, 47.7%); 2024 Pet Services spending = $0.58B, Up $0.14B (+30.9%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $0.16B; They have the need but not the $. A big lift in 24 but their spending is still 5% below 22.
  • Gen Z – Ave CU spent $29.30 (-$5.93, -16.8%); 2024 Pet Services spending = $0.33B, Up $0.01B (+4.0%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $0.20B; They still have the smallest share of the $ but their spending is 3 times more than 2021.

This segment had slow annual growth until 2017 which saw a small drop in spending due to an extremely competitive environment. In 2018, the increased number of outlets really hit home, and spending exploded. 2019 brought another small decrease as Gen Xers & Millennials looked for and found a better deal. 2020 brought pandemic restrictions and closures. 2021 saw a record lift which they exceeded in 2022. In 23/24, growth slowed, and Gen X is again #1 in $.

Now, Veterinary Services

  • Boomers had the only decrease. Gen X stayed on top in CU spending and returned to #1 in total $.
  • Except for the 2022 drop by Millennials, the younger groups have had a growing commitment to this Pet Parenting responsibility. The combined Vet $ of Millennials, Gen Z & Gen Xers is up 31% from 2023 but 111% from 2020.
  • Boomers – Ave CU spent $247.14 (-$41.52, -14.4%); 2024 Veterinary spending = $10.27B, Down -$1.67B (-14.0%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $1.34B; In 2020, Boomers focused on Food & Vet. In 21 they had a big drop in Food but a big lift in Vet $. They were #1 in Vet $ until the drop in 22 pushed them to #2. They were #1 in 23 but fell to #3 in 24.
  • Gen X – Ave CU spent $380.20 (+$69.85, 22.5%); 2024 Veterinary spending= $13.79B, Up $2.34B (+20.4%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $6.14B; They have been #1 in CU Vet spending since 2018. They are the only group with an increase in Vet $ every year since 2019. In 22 they became #1 in $. In 23 they fell to #2 but are again #1 in 24.
  • Millennials – Ave CU spent $353.20 (+$97.47, 38.1%); 2024 Veterinary Spending $12.99B, Up $3.77B (+40.8%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $6.94B; They had the biggest lift in 21, the biggest drop in 22 and big lifts in 23/24. They are #2.
  • Gen Z – Ave CU spent $224.87 (+$37.53, 20.0%); 2024 Veterinary spending = $2.51B, Up $0.84B (+50.1%)
    • 2020>2024: Up $2.31B; Their growing commitment to Pets includes Vet Services as 24 spending is 6 times 21.
  • Silent/Greatest – Ave CU spent $73 (+$49.03, 40.3%); 2024 Veterinary spending $1.71B, Up $0.34B (+24.3%)
    • 2020>2024: Down $0.31B; Their pets’ health is still a priority. Even with high prices, they had a 24% increase.

Veterinary spending continues to be important to the 3 younger groups but is a priority for all groups. Boomers had a $2.2B lift in 23 so a drop in 24 was not unexpected. Even with 7.4% inflation, everyone else bought more Vet Services.

One last chart to compare the share of spending to the share of total CU’s to see who is “earning their share”.

  • Gen X Performance – Total: 125.6%; Food: 120.8%; Supplies: 123.6%; Services: 145.0%; Veterinary: 125.1%
    • Gen Xers stayed at the top in performance. They earned their share in Total Pet and all segments. Except for the 2020 dip they increased their Total Pet Spending every year since 2016. In 2021 they had a big increase in every segment. In 2022 they had some spending dips but an overall increase as they stayed on top in Total Pet $. In 2023, they had lifts in all, but Food and they were the performance leader in all NonFood segments. 2024 was even better. They are the performance leader in Total Pet and all segments.
  • Baby Boomers Performance – Total: 92.2%; Food: 108.1%; Supplies: 91.3%; Services: 80.5%; Veterinary: 81.3%
    • Boomers led the way in building the industry, but their time may have passed. They only earn their share in Pet Food and are still the spending leader. In Total Pet and all other segments, they are #3 in $. They are still the most emotional Pet Parents, so their spending is subject to radical swings like 2020’s panic, binge buying of Pet Food. They should still be a major force in the Pet Industry for many more years, but the Gen Xers are now the top performers, and the Millennials are preparing to eventually take their turn at the top.
  • Millennials Performance – Total: 102.7%; Food: 98.2%; Supplies: 110.2%; Services: 110.8%; Veterinary: 116.2%
    • Millennials are the only group to have increased their pet spending every year since 2016. Their spending is more evenly balanced, and their performance is 100+% in all but Pet Food (98.2%). Their future as the Pet Parenting spending leaders is still aways off. Their income, home ownership and pet spending are all increasing. They are educated and well connected. Indications are that they may lead the way in adopting new trends, especially in food. Their progress is good news, but in reality, their leadership may be a decade away.
  • Gen Z Performance – Total: 58.0%; Food: 50.2%; Supplies: 60.1%; Services: 29.1%; Veterinary: 74.0%
    • Their getting started numbers are low in all but Vet. Even with a drop in 24, they are above the oldsters in Total.
  • Silent/Greatest Performance – Total: 55.8%; Food: 53.6%; Supplies: 58.1%; Services: 57.2%; Veterinary: 56.2%
    • Pet Parenting is more challenging in old age. Their performance is low, but now above the 55.6% in 22.

Baby Boomers are still the heart of the industry but no longer the $ leaders. Gen X leads in both CU $ & Total $ . They will continue to grow as they are pursued by Millennials, who are waiting to take their turn at the top. Pet Spending has become more balanced across the generations. This bodes well for the continued strong growth of the industry.

Petflation 2026 – January Update: Total Pet Prices Reach a Record High

It’s time to get started with 2026 inflation. The Consumer Price Index peaked back in June 2022 at 9.1% then began to slow until it turned up in Jul/Aug 2023. Prices fell in Oct>Dec 23, then turned up Jan>Oct 24 but fell in Nov. However, they rose 10 straight months to a record high in Sep 25, fell Oct>Dec, then rose in Jan (New Record). The CPI vs last year slowed to +2.4% from +2.7% because of a new base year. Grocery prices rose 0.6% from Dec to a new record but their YOY inflation also fell to 2.1% from 2.4%. Even minor price changes can affect consumer pet spending, especially in the discretionary pet segments, so we will continue to publish monthly reports to track petflation as it evolves in the market.

Petflation was +4.1% in Dec 21 while the overall CPI was +7.0%. The gap narrowed as Petflation accelerated. It was 96.7% of the national rate in June 22. National inflation has slowed considerably, but Petflation generally increased until June 23. It passed the CPI in July 22, fell below it from Apr>Jul 24. It passed the CPI in Aug, fell below in Sep>Oct, rose above in Nov, fell below in Dec>Aug, then passed it in Sep>Oct & Dec>Jan. All reports will include:

  • A rolling 24 month tracking of the CPI for all pet segments and the national CPI. The base number will be pre-pandemic December 2019 in this and future reports, which will facilitate comparisons.
  • Monthly comparisons of 26 vs 25 which will include Pet Segments and relevant Human spending categories. Plus
    1. CPI change from the previous month.
    2. Inflation changes for recent years (24>25, 23>24, 22>23, 21>22, 20>21, 19>20, 18>19)
    3. Total Inflation for the current month in 2026 vs 2019 and vs 2021 to see the full inflation surge.
    4. Average annual Year Over Year inflation rate from 2019 to 2026
  • YTD comparisons (Note: January = YTD, so there will be no separate YTD report this month.)
    1. YTD numbers for the monthly comparisons #2>4 above

In our first graph we will track the monthly change in prices for the 24 months from Jan 24 to Jan 26. We will use December 2019 as a base number so we can track the progress from pre-pandemic times through an eventual recovery. This chart is designed to give you a visual image of the flow of pricing. You can see the similarities and differences in segment patterns and compare them to the overall U.S. CPI. The year-end numbers from 12 and 24 months earlier are included. We also included and highlighted (pink) the cumulative price peak for each segment. In Jan, Pet prices were up 0.3% from Dec. Food (+0.8%), Vet (+0.5%) & Services (+0.6%) were up while Supplies (-1.0%) were down significantly.

In Jan 24, the CPI was +20.0% and Pet was +22.4%. The Services segments inflated after mid-20, while Product inflation stayed low until late 21. In 22, Food prices grew but the others had mixed patterns until July 22, when all rose. In Aug>Oct Petflation took off. In Nov>Dec, Services & Food inflated while Vet & Supplies prices stabilized. In Jan>Apr 23, prices grew every month for all segments except for 1 Supplies dip. In May Products prices grew while Services slowed. In Jun/Jul this reversed. In Aug all but Services fell. In Sep/Oct this flipped. In Nov, all but Food & Vet fell. In Dec, Supp. & Vet  drove prices up. In Jan>Mar 24 Pet prices grew. In April, prices in all but Vet fell. In May, all but Food grew. In June, Products drove a lift. In July, all but Services fell. In Aug, Food drove a drop. In Sep, Products fueled a drop. In Nov all were up. Prices dropped in Mar & Oct>Nov 25, but all set records in Dec and/or Jan.

  • U.S. CPI – The inflation rate was below 2% through 2020. It turned up in January 21 and continued to grow until flattening out in Jul>Dec 22. Prices rose Jan>Sep 23, fell Oct>Dec, rose Jan>Oct 24, fell Nov, rose Dec>Sep 25, fell Nov>Dec, but hit a record high in Jan. 26% of the lift since Dec 19 happened from Jan>Jun 22 – 8.2% of the time.
  • Pet Food – Prices were at the Dec 19 level Apr 20>Sep 21. They grew & peaked May 23, then got on a roller coaster. Jan/Feb 25 up, Mar>May down, Jun/Jul up, Aug down, Sep↔, Oct/Nov down, Dec/Jan up. 92% of the lift was in 22/23.
  • Pet Supplies – Supplies prices were high in Dec 19 due to tariffs. They had a deflated roller coaster ride until mid-21 when they returned to Dec 19 prices & stayed there until 22. They turned up in Jan (record). They plateaued Feb>May, grew in June, flattened in July, then turned up in Aug>Oct to a new record. Prices stabilized Nov>Dec, grew Jan>Feb 23. fell in Mar, but the roller coaster went on. Dec>Feb up , Mar/Apr down, May/Jun up , July down , Aug up, Sep/Oct down , Nov/Dec up , Jan>Feb 25 down,  Mar>May up , Jun down, Jul up , Aug down , Sep up , Oct>Nov down , Dec up (record), Jan down.
  • Pet Services– Inflation is usually 2+%. Perhaps due to closures, prices increased at a lower rate in 2020. In 2021 consumer demand increased but with fewer outlets. Inflation grew in 21 with the biggest lift in Jan>Apr. Inflation was strong in 22 but prices got on a roller coaster. They turned up Jul>Apr 23, fell May. rose Jun>Aug, fell Sep>Dec, rose Jan>Mar 24, fell Apr, rose May, fell Jun, rose Jul>Nov, fell Dec>Mar 25, rose Apr>Aug, fell Sep, rose Oct>Jan 26 (record).
  • Veterinary – Inflation has been consistent. Prices turned up in Mar 20 and grew through 21. A surge began in Dec 21 which put them above the overall CPI. In May 22 prices fell and stabilized in June and they fell below the CPI. However, they rose again & have been above the CPI since July 22. In 23>25 prices grew Jan>May, level Jun/Jul, fell Aug, grew Sep>Dec, fell Jan, grew Feb>May, fell Jun>Jul, grew Aug 24>Sep 25, fell Oct>Nov, grew Dec/Jan.
  • Total Pet – Petflation is a sum of the segments. In Dec 21 the price surge began. In Mar>Jun 22 the segments had ups & downs, but Petflation grew Jul>Nov, slowed Dec, grew Jan>May 23, fell Jun>Aug, grew Sep/Oct, fell In December prices grew through Mar 24 to a record high. Prices fell in April, rose May>Jun, fell Jul>Sep, rose Oct>Nov, fell Dec, rose Jan>Feb 25, fell Mar, grew Apr>Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec/Jan (record)

Next, we’ll turn our attention to the Year Over Year inflation rate change for January and compare it to last month, last year and to previous years. We will also show total inflation from 21>26 & 19>26. Petflation rose from 2.5% to 3.5% in Sep, fell to 2.6% in Nov, then rose to 3.5% in Dec. In Jan it is 3.4% and 41.7% above the National rate. The chart will allow you to compare the inflation rates of 25>26 to 24>25 and other years but also see how much of the total inflation since 2019 came from the current surge. We’ve included some human categories to put the pet numbers into perspective

Overall, prices were up 0.4% from December and were +2.4% vs Jan 25, down from +2.7% last month. Grocery prices rose 0.6% but inflation fell to +2.1% from 2.4%. Only Pet Supplies had a price decrease from last month. In Dec only the National CPI was down. In Nov there were 6 drops – a big change. The national YOY monthly CPI rate of 2.4% is down 20% from 24>25 and 68% less than 21>22. However, the 25>26 rate is above 24>25 for all but the CPI and Pet Supplies. In our 2021>2025 measurement you also can see that over 80% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 has occurred in all but 3 segments, Haircuts, Medical & Veterinary Services. Except for Pet Services, where prices have surged Service Segments have had higher inflation rates so there was a smaller pricing lift in the recent surge. Pet Products have a very different pattern. The 21>26 inflation surge provided 94% of their overall inflation since 2019. This happened because Pet Products prices in 2021 were still recovering from a deflationary period. Services expenditures account for 64.0% of the National CPI so they are very influential. Their current CPI is +3.2% while the CPI for Commodities is 1.0%. This clearly shows that Services are driving almost all of the current 2.4% inflation. The situation in Pet is even worse. Petflation: 3.4%. The CPI for the 2 Service Segments is 6.0%. The Pet Products CPI is 1.3%.

  • U.S. CPI– Prices are +0.4% from Dec. The YOY increase is 2.4%, down from 2.7%. It peaked at +9.1% back in June 2022. The targeted inflation rate is <2% so we are now 20+% higher than the target. The January increase follows stability in Dec and 2 drops in Oct & Nov. The current rate is below 24>25 but the 21>26 rate is +24.3%, 83.2% of the total inflation since 2019. The Inflation surge hadn’t started in January 2021, +1.4%
  • Pet Food– Prices are +0.8% vs Dec. and +1.4 vs Jan 25, up from -1.1%. They are still 33% below the Food at Home inflation rate of +2.1%. Remember that the YOY Pet Food CPI has deflated in 15 of the last 23 months. The 2021>2026 inflation surge has generated 90.3% of the 26.9% inflation since 2019. Inflation began for Pet Food in June 2021, +0.9%, after 12 straight deflationary months.
  • Food at Home – Prices are up +0.6% from Dec, but the YOY increase fell from 2.4% to 2.1%. This is radically lower than Jul>Sep 2022 when it exceeded 13%. The 31.5% Inflation for this category since 2019 is 8% more than the national CPI but is only in 5th place behind 4 Services expenditures and Total Pet. 82% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26. This is slightly lower than the CPI, but we should note that Grocery prices began inflating in 2020>21 then the rate accelerated. It appears that the pandemic supply chain issues in Food which contributed to higher prices started early and foreshadowed problems in other categories and the overall CPI tsunami.
  • Pets & Supplies– Prices were -1.0% from December and YOY inflation fell to +0.2% from 1.0%. They still have the lowest rate vs 2019. Prices were deflated for much of 20>21. As a result, the 2021>26 inflation surge accounted for 112% of the total price increase since 2019. Prices set a record in Oct 22 then deflated. 3 lifts pushed them to a record high in Feb 23. Prices fell in Mar & the roller coaster continued into 25. They fell Jan/Feb 25, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec (record), then fell in Jan.
  • Veterinary Services– Prices are +0.5% from Dec and +7.4% from 2025, up from 7.1%. They remain #1 in inflation vs last year & still the leader in the increase since 2019 with +56.2% and since 21, +42.8%. For Veterinary, relatively high annual inflation is the norm. However, the rate has increased during the current surge, especially since 23. They have the highest rate in 26, but only 76.0% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>26.
  • Medical Services – Prices turned sharply up at the start of the pandemic but then inflation slowed and fell to a low rate in 20>21. Prices rose +0.6% from Dec and inflation vs last year rose to +3.9% from +3.5%. Medical Services are not a big part of the current surge as only 59.2% of the 22.8%, 2019>26 increase happened from 21>26.
  • Pet Services – Inflation slowed in 20 but grew in 21. In 24 prices surged , especially in Jul>Nov. Prices fell Dec>Mar 25 to 3.9%. Apr grew, May fell, June rose, Jul rose to 6.3%. Inflation fell to 5.8% in Aug & to 4.2% in Nov. In Dec>Jan 26 it rose to 5.7%. They are #2 vs 25, 21 & 19. 84% of their 19>25 inflation is from 21>26. In Dec 23, it was 49%.
  • Haircuts/Other Personal Services – Prices are +0.6% from Dec and +5.0% from Jan 25. 18 of the last 25 months have been 4.0+%. Inflation has been pretty consistent. 69.3% of the 19>26 inflation happened 21>26.
  • Total Pet– Petflation slowed to 3.4% from 3.5%. All segments but Supplies had a higher rate. It is 70% above the 24>25 rate and 42% above the U.S. CPI. Plus, it is 10% above the 3.1% average January rate since 1997. Jan prices rose 0.3%, driven by all but Supplies. The Dec>Jan increase was slightly below the 0.4% 97>25 average change but expected. A drop has only occurred in 2 of the last 28 years. The big factor in the CPI drop was that prices rose 0.4.4% in Dec>Jan 25. In January, the recovery definitely slowed.

The Petflation recovery paused in Aug 24, came back Sep>Oct, paused in Nov, resumed in Dec>Jan, paused in Feb, restarted in Mar and paused Apr>Sep. It improved Oct/Nov but paused in Dec/Jan. We tend to focus on the monthly, YOY inflation in the current year and ignore the fact that inflation is cumulative. Pet prices are 27.6% above 2021 and 33.0% higher than 2019. Those are big lifts. In fact, January prices are within 1% of the record for Pet Supplies, while the prices for the National CPI, Total Pet and all other pet segments reached record levels. (Note: Jan Pet Food prices are still 0.06% below May 2023 but with rounding….) Only Supplies prices (+12.7%) are less than 26.9% higher than 2019. Since price/value is the biggest driver in consumer spending, inflation will affect the Pet Industry. Services will be the least impacted as it is driven by high income CUs. Veterinary will continue to see a reduction in visit frequency. The product segments will see a more complex reaction. Supplies are more discretionary so we will likely see a reduction in purchase frequency. In Pet Food, the most needed segment, some Pet Parents may even downgrade their Pet Food. However, the biggest impact in both product segments will be a strong movement to online purchasing and private label. We saw proof of this at both GPE 25 & SZ 25 as a huge # of exhibitors offer OEM services. At GPE 26, this trend will continue. Strong, cumulative inflation has a widespread impact.

 

Retail Channel $ Update – November Monthly & December Advance

Due to the shutdown, no CPIs were produced in Oct, but we were able to produce estimates. In Nov/Dec the situation was back to business as usual. Total Retail $ were +3.8% vs 24, 12.1% below their Dec avg (4.3%). Relevant Retail $ were +4.3% vs 24, 7.1% above the 4.0% avg. There are other factors besides the CPI impacting sales, including high cumulative inflation and tarifflation binge buying. It is a complex situation. YOY drops & the size of sales lifts are still concerning.

We’ll continue to track the retail market with data from 2 reports provided by the Census Bureau and then factor in a targeted CPI. The reports are the Monthly and the Advance Retail Sales Reports. Both are derived from sales data gathered from retailers across the U.S. and are published monthly at the same time. They are still about a month late due to the shutdown. The Monthly Report includes data from all respondents, so it takes longer to compile. Although the sample size for the Advance report is smaller, the results have proven it to be statistically accurate with the Monthly. The Advance Report has a smaller sample size so it can be published quickly. The biggest difference is that the full sample in the Monthly report allows us to “drill” a little deeper into the channels.

We will begin with the November Monthly Report and then go to the December Advance Report. Our focus is comparing to last year but also 21 & 19. We’ll show both actual and the “real” change in sales as we factor inflation into the data.

Both reports normally include the following:

  • Total Retail, Restaurants, Auto, Gas Stations and Relevant Retail (removing Restaurants, Auto and Gas)
  • Individual Channel Data – This is more detailed in the Monthly reports, and we’ll focus on Pet Relevant Channels.

The data will be presented in detailed charts to facilitate visual comparison between groups/channels. The charts will show 11 separate measurements. To save space they will be displayed in a stacked bar format for the channel charts.

  • Current Month change – % & $ vs previous month
  • Current Month change – % & $ vs same month last year and vs 2021.
    • Current Month Real change vs last year and vs 2021 – % factoring in inflation
  • Current Ytd change – % & $ for this year vs last year, 2021 & 2019. (Note: Dec Ytd data is Year-end)
    • Current Ytd Real change % for this year vs last year and vs 2021 and 2019
  • Monthly & Ytd $ & CPIs for this year vs last year and vs 2021 which are targeted by channel will also be shown. (CPI Details are at the end of the report)

First, the November Monthly. All but Relevant Retail were down from Oct and there were 3 actual YOY sales drops. Note: Gas Stations are still selling more product than in 2019. 3 groups are again “all positive”, down from 4 in Aug>Sep. Relevant Retail has been all positive in 21 of the last 25 months and in 17 of the last 19. ($ are Not Seasonally Adjusted)

The Nov Monthly is $0.7B less than the Advance report. Restaurants: +$0.3B; Auto: +$0.3B; Gas Stations: +$0.2B; Relevant Retail: -$1.4B. All but Relevant were down from Oct. An Oct>Nov drop in Total Retail  has only happened in 26% of the years since 1992. The avg. is +1.2%. There were 3 YOY drops in actual sales, the most in 2025. There was 1 “real” sales drop, the same as Oct, but up from none in Aug/Sep and far less than the 5 in Mar. 3 groups were again “all positive”, down from 4 in Aug/Sep, but equal to Mar>Jul. Restaurants still have the biggest increases vs 21 & 19 but Relevant Retl stayed at the top of “real” performance vs 2019. However, only 42.3% of their growth is real.

Now, let’s see how some Key Pet Relevant channels did in November (83% of Nov Ytd Rel Retl $)

Overall– 5 of 11 were up from Oct. Vs Nov 24, 10 were actually up & 7 were “really” up. Vs Nov 21, 7 were up but only 5 were real increases. Vs 2019, Only Dept Strs were actually & really down, but Off/Gift/Souv were also really down.

  • Building Material Stores – The pandemic focus on home has produced sales growth of 29.8% since 2019. Prices for the Bldg/Matl group have inflated 18.3% from 21 and 24.0% from 2019 which is having an impact. Sales vs Oct were -9.9% for HomeCtr/Hdwe and -10.5% for Farm Stores. Vs other years, Farm stores are actually up for all, but their Real $ were down vs 21. HomCtr/Hdwe are only actually and really up vs 2019. Plus, only 16% of the Bldg Materials group’s 19>25 lift was real. HomeCtr/Hdwe: Ytd: -3.0%; Avg 19>25 Growth: 4.1%, Real: 0.4%; Farm: Ytd: +4.3%; Avg: 6.3%, Real: 2.6%
  • Food & Drug – Both are essential. Except for the COVID food binge, they tend to have smaller changes in $. Vs: Oct Supermarkets: -0.2%; Drug: -9.5%. In terms of inflation, the Groceries rate is 73% higher than Drug/Med products. Drug Stores are positive in all measurements and 70.5% of their 2019>25 growth is real. Supermarkets’ actual $ are up in all comparisons. They are only “really” down monthly and Ytd vs 21. However, only 9% of their 19>25 increase is real growth. Supermarkets: Ytd: +3.3%; Avg 19>25: +4.9%, Real: +0.5%; Drug Stores: Ytd: +7.9%; Avg: +5.9%, Real: +4.4%.
  • Sporting Goods Stores – They also benefited from the pandemic in that consumers turned to self-entertainment, especially sports & outdoor activities. Sales are +8.2% from Oct, and their only positives are actual & real vs Nov 24 & 2019, plus real Ytd vs 24. Prices stopped deflating vs 24. Deflation started in April 23 and was a big change from +1.1% in 22>23 & +7.9% in 21>22. This caused 68% of their 32% lift since 19 to be real. Ytd: -2.0%; Avg 19>25: +4.8%; Real: +3.4%
  • Gen Mdse Stores – Sales were +4.9% vs Oct. Except for real vs 24 for clubs, all YOY $, actual & real were up for $ Stores and SupCtr/Clubs. Dept Stores are negative in all comparisons but vs Nov 24. Their Actual sales are even -28.7% from 19 (Real: -35.7%). The other channels have an average of 41.4% in real growth. SupCtr/Club: Ytd: +2.4%; Avg 19>25: 5.0%, Real: 2.2%; $/Value Strs: Ytd: +2.0%; Avg: +5.5%, Real: +2.7%; Dept. Strs: Ytd: -1.5%; Avg: -5.5%, Real: -7.4%.
  • Office, Gift & Souvenir Stores – Sales plummeted -34.0% from Oct. They are now actually up in all but vs Nov 21 but really down vs 21 & 19. Their recovery started late. It was slowly restarting in Jun/Jul, but their progress had slowed. It took off in Oct but slowed again in Nov. Their recovery continues. Ytd: +3.9%; Avg Growth Rate: 0.3%, Real: -1.4%
  • Internet/Mail Order – Sales are +7.1% from Oct to $133.5B, a Nov record. All YOY measurements are positive, but their YOY growth, +7.0%, is only 49% of their average since 2019. However, 82.3% of their 123.6% growth since 2019 is real. Ytd: +7.0%; Avg Growth: +14.3%, Real: +12.4%. As expected, they are by far the growth leader since 2019.
  • A/O Miscellaneous – Pet Stores are 22>24% of total $. In May 2020 they began their recovery which reached $100B for the first time in 2021. In 22 their $ dipped in Jan, Jul, Sep>Nov, rose Dec, fell Jan>Feb 23, grew Mar>May, fell Jun>Aug, rose Sep>Nov, fell Dec>Jan 24, grew Feb>May, fell Jun>Sep, grew Oct, fell Nov, rose Dec, fell Jan>Feb, grew Mar>May, fell Jun>Sep, rose Oct, fell Nov. All comparisons are positive, and they are right behind the Internet, in the % increase vs 19 & vs 21. Also, 76% of their 69.7% growth since 2019 is real. Ytd: +10.0%; Avg 19>25: 9.2%, Real: +7.4%

Nov was down -0.9% from Oct. All but Rel. Retl  & 5 smaller channels were down. The YOY Nov lift vs 24 was 1.9% for Total & 2.7%  for Relevant Retl. (Avg for both: 4.7%) Prices are again deflating in Sporting Gds, but this is not significant. Cumulative inflation still impacts sales as 6 channels were ‘really’ down vs Nov 21. The Retail Recovery has slowed again.

Now, Let’s Take an Advance Look at December – First the Big Groups

Nov>Dec sales were up for all but Gas Stations. A Nov>Dec Total Retail lift has happened every year since 1992. The 10.9% lift is 27% below the 15.0% avg change. There were 2 YOY $ drops, 1 less than Nov. All Big Groups were up vs Dec 24, but the Total Retail lift of 3.8% vs Dec 24 was 12% below their +4.3% 92>24 avg. However, the Relevant Retail 4.3% increase vs Dec 24 was 7% above their +4.0% avg. Inflation is still a factor. The CPI for all commodities slowed to 1.7% from 1.8% vs 24 but it fell from 8.6% to 7.7% vs 21. There is some good “real” news. No “real” measurement was down and Gas Stations are again “really” up vs 2019. Plus, 4 Big Groups are again all positive, up from 3 in Sep>Nov. Relevant Retail has been all positive in 18 of the last 20 months.

Overall Inflation Reality– The Total Retail CPI slowed to 1.7% but the $ lift vs 24 was still 12% below avg. The Restaurant CPI rose to +4.0% and their $ lift was 19% below avg. Gas prices flipped to -3.2%. They are still in turmoil. Auto inflation slowed to 0.9% vs 24 & -1.2% vs 21, but sales were only +1.9% vs 24 – 59% below their 4.6% avg change. Inflation rose to 2.0% for Relevant Retail, but their lift was 7% above avg and they are again all positive. Progress continued in December.

Total Retail – Since Jun 20, every month but Apr 23, Jun 24 & Feb 25 has set a monthly $ales record. In 2023>25, Sales were on a roller coaster. Up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct>Dec, down Jan 24, up Feb>Mar, down April, up May, down Jun, up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct>Dec, down Jan>Feb 25, up Mar, down Apr, up May, down Jun, up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct, down Nov, up Dec. Prices are 1.7% and YOY $ are +3.8%, 12% below the avg. 42% of the 19>25 growth is real.  Inflation slowed but cumulative inflation is still impacting sales. Growth: 24>25: 3.7%; Avg 19>25: +6.2%, Real: +2.8%.

Restaurants – They were hit hard by the pandemic and didn’t begin recovery until March 2021. However, they have had strong growth since then, exceeding $1T for the 1st time in 2023. November $ are up vs 24 and they have the biggest lifts vs 21 & 19. Inflation rose to 4.0% vs 24 and it is +24.2% vs 21 and +32.3% vs 19. Their 4.5% YOY lift is 19% below their +5.5% 92>24 avg. They are all positive again, but just 32.0% of their 56.0% growth since 2019 is real. They are 3rd in performance behind Total & Relevant Retail. Recovery started late but inflation started early. Growth: 5.3%; Avg 19>25:+7.7%, Real: +2.8%. They just account for 13.6% of Total Retail $, but their strong growth has helped Total Retail.

Auto (Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers) – They overcame the stay-at-home attitude with great deals and advertising. They finished 2020 up 1% vs 2019 and hit a record $1.48T in 2021 but much was due to high inflation. In 22, sales got on a rollercoaster. Inflation started to drop mid-year, but it caused 4 down months in actual $. Their YE real 22 sales numbers were even worse, -8.2% vs 21 and -8.9% vs 19. 23 started a sales rollercoaster but the $ hit a record, $1.595T. $ fell in Jan 24, grew Feb>Mar, fell Apr, grew May, fell June, grew Jul>Aug, fell Sep, grew Oct, fell Nov, grew Dec, fell Jan>Feb 25, grew Mar, fell Apr>Jun, rose Jul>Aug, fell Sep, rose Oct, fell Nov, rose Dec. Dec $ were +1.9% vs 24. Avg: 4.6%. However, they are again all positive but just 23.2% of 19>25 growth is real. Growth: 3.9%; Avg 19>25: +5.3%, Real: +1.4%

Gas Stations – Gas Stations were hit hard by “stay at home”. They started recovery in Mar 21, and inflation began. Sales got on a rollercoaster in 22 but set a record, $583B. Inflation started to slow in Aug and prices slightly deflated in Dec & Feb 23, then strongly fell in Mar>Jul to -20.2%. In Aug they rose to -3.7%. In Sep they were +2.7% but began deflating to -4.2% in Feb 24. In Mar>May $ grew, fell Jun, rose July, fell Aug/Sep, rose Oct, fell Nov>Feb 25, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug>Oct, up Nov, fell Dec. Dec $ vs 24: +2.5% (4.3% avg). Down Ytd vs 24 & vs Dec 21. Real $ are all positive. Growth: -1.4%; Avg 19>25: +3.3%, Real: 0.2%. They show the cumulative impact of inflation can be positive & negative.

Relevant Retail – Less Auto, Gas and Restaurants– They account for ≈60% of Total Retail $ in a variety of channels. Their only down month until Feb 25 was Apr 20, and they led the way in Retail’s recovery. Sales got on a roller coaster in 22, but all months set new records with Dec reaching a new all-time high, $481B, and an annual record of $4.81T. In 23, the roller coaster continued. A Dec lift set a new monthly record of $494.7B & an annual record of $4.997T. $ales got back on the roller coaster in 24. The ride continued as $ rose Oct>Jan 25, fell Feb, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug>Sep, rose Oct>Dec. The Dec 4.3% YOY lift is 7% above their 92>24 avg of +4.0%. Plus, they are all positive again but only 41.8% of their 46.4% 19>25 growth is real, now #2 in Big Group performance, behind Total. Growth: 4.0%; Avg 19>25: +6.6%, Real: +3.0%. In 2024 their inflation rate dropped from 3.2% to 0.1%. It rose in 25 to 1.8% in Sep then slowed to 1.5% in Oct>Nov & hit 2.0% in Dec. YOY Inflation is pretty low, but its cumulative impact can slow growth.

YOY inflation is low, but cumulative & impending lifts can affect sales. In Dec, 2 actual YOY $ comparison were negative, 1 less than Nov. In Oct>Nov, there was 1 real drop. That fell to 0 in Dec. In Oct, all were up vs 24 with below avg lifts. In Nov only Auto was down but the lifts were all below avg. In Dec, all were up and Relevant Retl’s lift was above avg. In Oct/Nov, 3 big groups were all positive. In Dec, there were 4. Relevant Retail has now been all positive in 18 of 20 months. As expected, Dec sales rose vs Nov, but the lift was 27% below avg. Recovery is still slow.

Here’s a more detailed look at December by Key Channels (98% of December Ytd Rel Retl $)

  • Relevant Retail: Ytd Growth: +4.0%; Avg 19>25: +6.6%; Real: 3.0%. % Real Growth: 41.8%. 10 of 11 were up from November. Vs Nov 24: 9 were up; 6 Real. Vs Nov 21: 8 were up; 7 Real. Vs 19: Only Dept Stores were down.
  • All Department Stores – This group was struggling before the pandemic hit them hard. They began recovery in March 21. Sales are +38.8% from Nov, but all YOY measurements are negative. Their -0.02% Dec YOY drop is minimal and much better their -4.7% avg. Ytd Growth: -1.3%; Avg 19>25: -5.5%; Real: -7.3%. % Real growth: None
  • Club/SuprCtr/$ – They fueled a big part of the recovery because they focus on value which has broad consumer appeal. $ales are +12.6% from Nov, and they are up in all comparisons but real vs Dec 24. Their 0.8% YOY Dec lift is -89% below their 92>24 avg of +7.0%. Ytd Growth: 2.2%; Avg 19>25: +5.0%; Real: 2.2%. % Real Growth: 40.3%
  • Grocery- They depend on frequent purchases, so their changes are usually less radical. $ales are +3.6% from Nov, but they are really down vs 21 & Dec 24. Cumulative inflation has hit them hard, especially monthly & Ytd vs 21. Their 2.2% YOY Dec lift is 29.9% below avg. Ytd Growth: 2.7%; Avg 19>25: +4.8%; Real: 0.4%. % Real Growth: 6.8%
  • Health/Drug Stores – Many stores are essential, but consumers visit less frequently than Grocery stores. $ are +17.3% from Nov and they are positive in all but real Ytd vs 21. Inflation has been relatively low, so it is no surprise that their +8.1% YOY lift vs Dec 24 is 66% above avg. Ytd Growth: 7.0%; Avg 19>25: +5.6%; Real: 4.1%. % Real Growth: 69.7%
  • Clothing and Accessories – Clothes mattered less if you stayed home. That changed in March 2021 with strong growth through 2022. Sales are +36.6% from Nov and positive in all YOY measurements but real Ytd vs 24. $ales are +5.4% vs Dec 24, more than double their 2.6% avg. Ytd Growth: 5.5%; Avg 19>25: +3.5%; Real: 2.5%. % Real Growth: 69.5%.
  • Home Furnishings – In mid-2020 consumers’ focus turned to their homes and furniture became a priority. Inflation is up to 3.1% in Dec. $ are +1.3% from Nov but are only up Ytd vs 24 & 19. YOY vs Dec 24, they are -3.7%, far below their 2.8% avg lift. Ytd Growth: 2.3%; Avg 19>25:+2.4%; Real: 0.03%. % Real Growth: 1.3%.
  • Electronic & Appliances – They have had many issues. Sales fell in Apr>May of 2020 and didn’t reach 2019 levels until March 21. $ are +19.2% from Nov and they are only down Ytd vs 21. They have had strong deflation so real sales are all up. Sales are +2.6% vs Dec 24, double the avg. Ytd Growth: 0.8%; Avg 19>25: 0.5%; Real: 3.7%. Real Growth: 11.1%
  • Building Material, Farm & Garden & Hardware – They truly benefited from the consumers’ focus on home. In 2022 the lift slowed as inflation grew to double digits. Prices turned up again in Apr>Sep 25, dropped Oct/Nov, then jumped to 5.4% in Dec. Sales are up 0.7% from Nov but only up vs Dec 24 and Ytd vs 21 & 19. YOY sales vs Dec 24 were +3.4%, 17.5% below their 4.1% Avg. Ytd Growth: -1.3%; Avg 19>25: +4.5%; Real: 0.8%. % Real Growth: 15.6%.
  • Sporting Goods, Hobby and Book Stores – Consumers turned their attention to recreation and Sporting Goods stores sales took off. Book & Hobby Stores recovered more slowly. They have been on a sales roller coaster since June 24 and $ are +34.3% from Nov. Actual & Real sales are only down Ytd vs 21. YOY Sales vs Dec 24 are +8.7%, almost 6 times their 1.5% avg. Ytd Growth: +2.5%; Avg 19>25: +4.3%; Real: 3.6%. % Real Growth; 81.5%.
  • All Miscellaneous Stores – Pet Stores have been a key part of the strong and growing recovery of this group. They finished 2020 at +0.9% but sales took off in March 21 and have continued to grow. Sales are -8.2% vs Nov, but positive in all comparisons. They are 2nd in the % increase vs 19 & 3rd vs 21. Plus, their 10.1% YOY Dec lift is 3.6 times more than their 92>24 avg of +2.8%. Ytd Growth: +9.2%; Avg 19>25: +7.1%; Real: 5.3%. % Real Growth: 70.8%.
  • NonStore Retailers – 90% of their $ comes from Internet/Mail Order/TV. The pandemic accelerated online spending. They ended 2020 +21.4%. The growth continued in 2021 as sales exceeded $100B for the 1st time and they broke the $1 Trillion barrier. $ are +17.1% from Nov but their YOY lift of 6.7% is -31% below the 9.8% avg. However, they are positive in all comparisons. Ytd Growth: 6.8%; Avg 19>25: +13.2%; Real: 11.3%. % Real Growth: 81.2%.

Recap – Driven by Relevant Retail, the Pandemic recovery was widespread by Y/E 21. In 22 we were hit with the strongest inflation in 40 years. Inflation has slowed considerably from its Jun 22 peak but only 1 channel is deflating. Deflation helps, but cumulative inflation can still have a negative impact – slowed YOY growth and even sales drops. $ rose from Nov for 10 of 11 channels. Only 1 of the 10 lifts was above avg. The biggest concern is still YOY drops and smaller lifts. Relevant Retail’s 4.3% lift vs Dec was 7% above avg. 9 channels had a YOY lift vs Dec 24, the same as last month, but only 4 of the 9 lifts were above avg, up from 3 in Nov but down from 7 in Oct and 6 in Sep. There are at least 2 major factors. High prices from cumulative inflation and the move to shop earlier for the Holidays. December is still the biggest retail month of year and Total & Relevant Retail both had the most sales in history. The Yoy lift was below avg for Total but 7% above avg for Relevant. The situation is better than Nov but still mixed due to cumulative inflation and the early holiday shopping movement. 7 of 11 channels had a below avg lift or a drop vs Dec 24. We’ll see what happens.

Here are the Nov/Dec inflation rates for the CPIs used to calculate the impact of inflation on retail groups and channels. This includes special aggregate CPIs created with the instruction and guidance of the US BLS. I also researched data from the last Economic Census to review the share of sales by product category for the various channels to help in selecting what expenditures to include in specific aggregates. Of course, none of these specially created aggregates are 100% accurate but they are much closer than the overall CPI or available aggregates. The data includes the CPI changes vs 21 to show cumulative inflation. Note: Dec Ytd is 2025 Annual & Includes October Estimates

Monthly YOY CPI changes of 0.2% or more are highlighted. (Green = lower; Pink = higher)

Here are some answers to some obvious questions. Note: Prices usually rose Nov>Dec.

  • Why is the group for Nonstore different from the Internet?
    • Non-store is not all internet. It also includes Fuel Oil Dealers, the non-motor fuel Energy Commodity.
  • Why is there no Food at home included in Nonstore or Internet?
    • Online Grocery purchasing is becoming popular, but almost all is from companies whose major business is brick ‘n mortar. These online sales are recorded under their primary channel.
  • 5 Channels have the same CPI aggregate but represent a variety of business types.
    • They also have a wide range of product types. Rather than try to build aggregates of a multitude of small expenditure categories, it seemed better to eliminate the biggest, influential groups that they don’t sell. This method is not perfect, but it is certainly closer than any existing aggregate.
  • Why are Grocery and Supermarkets only tied to the Grocery CPI?
    • According to the Economic Census, 76% of their sales comes from Grocery products. Grocery Products are the driver. The balance of their sales comes from a collection of a multitude of categories.
  • What about Drug/Health Stores only being tied to Medical Commodities.
    • An answer similar to the one for Grocery/Supermarkets. However, in this case Medical Commodities account for over 80% of these stores’ total sales.
  • Why do SuperCtrs/Clubs and $ Stores have the same CPI?
    • Big Stores sell more fresh groceries, Groceries account for ¼ of $ Store sales. Same Ctgys – different mix.

2024 U.S. TOTAL PET SPENDING $118.87B…Up $1.27B

In 2024 Total Pet Spending in the U.S. was $118.87B, a $1.27B (1.1%) increase from 2023. All segments but Food had  increases from 2023.  Veterinary had a 2nd consecutive double-digit lift but the drop in Food spending set a new record. Together this produced a small increase in Total Pet $. Inflation was again a factor affecting spending. It slowed in Products but remained high in the Service segments. Total Pet was +1.1%. With 2.6% inflation, it was “really” -1.5%.

  • A $5.46B (-12.0%) decrease in Food
  • A $0.89B (+3.9%) increase in Supplies
  • A $5.60B (+15.7%) increase in Veterinary
  • A $0.23B (+1.7%) increase in Services

Let’s see how these numbers blend together at the household (CU) level. Weekly, 25.2 million CU’s (1/5) spent $ on their Pets – food, supplies, services, veterinary or any combination – down from 26.8M in 2023 & well below 27.1M in 2019.

In 2024, the average U.S. CU (pet & non-pet) spent a total of $876.53 on their Pets. This was a +0.3% increase from the $874.16 spent in 2023. However, this doesn’t “add up” to a 1.1% increase in Total Pet Spending. With additional data provided from the US BLS, here is what happened.

  • 0.9% more CU’s
  • Spent 7.1% more $
  • 6.4% less often

If 68% of U.S. CU’s are pet parents, then their annual CU Total Pet Spending was $1289.01. Now, let’s look at the recent history of Total Pet Spending. The rolling chart below provides a good overview. (Note: All numbers in this report come from or are calculated by using data from the US BLS Consumer Expenditure Surveys – The 2016>2024 Totals include Veterinary Numbers from the Interview survey, rather than the Diary survey due to high variation.

  • In 2014-15, the Super Premium Food upgrade began, with the biggest lift coming in 2015.
  • In 2016, they value shopped for super premium foods. They spent more in other segments, but spending fell slightly.
  • In 2017, spending took off in all but Services, especially in the 2nd half. Consumers found more $ for their Pets.
  • In 2018, a spectacular lift in Services overcame the FDA issue in Food, tariffs on Supplies and inflation in Veterinary.
  • In 2019 a bounce back in Food and small lift in Veterinary couldn’t overcome the drop in Supplies from “tarifflation”.
  • In 2020, consumers focused on necessities, Food & Veterinary (+$8.7B) while Services & Supplies suffered (-$3.4B).
  • In 2021, there was no Food binge but in all other segments consumers made up for all the lost ground…and more!
  • The 2022 lift was the 3rd in a row, breaking a pattern since 2010 – 2 years of increases followed by a small decrease.
  • The 2023 lift was the 4th in a row, and despite high inflation, the 3rd largest ever. 2008: +$17.11B; 2021: +$16.23B.
  • The 2024 lift was the 5th in a row but the +$1.27B was the smallest increase since +$0.68B in 1993.

Now we’ll look at some Demographics. First, 2024 Total Pet Spending by Income Group

Only $70>100K & $150K> spent more, but $150K> was the big driver, +$5.54B.

Nationally: · Total Pet: $1.27B   · Food: ↓$5.46B  · Supplies: ↑$0.89B  · Services: ↑$0.23B  · Veterinary: ↑$5.60B

  • < $70K(47.7% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $477.46, -9.9%; Total $: $30.71B, ↓$4.62B (-13.1%) 
    • Food ↓$4.19B
    • Supplies ↓$0.03B
    • Services ↓$0.51B
    • Vet ↑$0.11B

Money matters a lot to this group. In the pandemic they focused on Pet needs. They have had slow but steady annual growth since 2019 which ended in 2024 due to a big drop In Food.

  • >$70K – (52.3% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $1238.47, +2.2%; Total $: $88.15B, $5.88B (+7.2%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.27B
    • Supplies ↑$0.92B
    • Services ↑$0.74B
    • Vet $5.49B

This group continues to grow in size, up 4.6% in 2024 and they had a spending lift 4.6 times bigger than the national increase. The drop in food was much smaller than expected and the other segments had ↑avg lifts.

  • < $30K(20.1% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $327.42, -17.1%; Total $: $8.42B, ↓$2.92B (-25.7%) from…
    • Food ↓$2.74B
    • Supplies ↓$0.03B
    • services ↓$0.27B
    • Vet $0.09B

This lowest income group is shrinking but had relatively stable spending until 24. They remain committed to their pets, but In 2024 high prices became an issue. Only Veterinary had a lift, +4.4% after a -35.9% drop in 2023.

  • $30>$70K – (27.6% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $580.69, -8.0%; Total $: $22.29B, ↓$1.70B (-7.1%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.48B
    • Supplies ↔$0.00B
    • Services ↓$0.25B
    • Vet $0.02B

They no longer match the National Pattern. Only Veterinary spending was up and it was just +0.4%.

  • $70>$99K – (14.4% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $872.49, +2.9%; Tot $: $17.58B, ↑$1.09B (+6.6%) from…
    • Food $0.53B
    • Supplies ↑$0.10B
    • Services ↑$0.50B
    • Vet ↓$0.04B

This group is price sensitive but committed. They only had a 0.8% drop in Vet but managed an 8.2% lift in Food.

  • $100K>$149K– (16.3% of CUs); CU Pet Spend: $1069.03, -4.0%; Tot $: $23.63B, ↓$0.75B (-3.1%) from
    • Food ↓$0.57B
    • Supplies $0.32B
    • Services ↓$0.34B
    • Vet ↓$0.14B

In 2020 they led the way in the Food binge. In 2021 they had a huge drop in Food $ but big increases in the other segments. In 2022 they got more “on track” with the biggest Total Pet $ increase for any income segment. In 23 they had the 2nd  biggest lift in the income category. In 24 all but Supplies were down. Total Pet fell -3.1%.

  • $150K> – (21.7% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $1613.38, +3.4%; Total $: $46.94B, ↑$5.54B (+13.4%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.23B
    • Supplies ↑$0.50B
    • Services ↑$0.59B
    • Vet $5.68B

This group consists of 2 segments, $150>199K and $200K>. In 2021 both groups had double digit increases in all segments. 2022 was different, with an overall lift despite 2 drops. In 23 the $150>199K group had a small drop in Services $ but all other measurements for both were up from 10.5% to 55.9%. In 24 both were down in Food & either Supplies or Services but had a 13+% Total lift. The $5.54B lift was 4.4 times the National lift of $1.27B.

  • < $100K – (62.1% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $571.08, -4.9%; Total $: $48.29B, ↓$3.53B (-6.8%)
    • Food ↓$3.66B
    • Supplies ↑$0.08B
    • Services ↓$0.02B
    • Vet $0.07B

The only drops were from <$30K & $30>39K. Both were -25+%. The biggest lift was from $70>99K, +$1.09B. Except for Food, the changes were minor. The overall drop in Services was driven by <$30K & $50>70K, -$0.50B.

  • >$100K – (37.9% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $1379.08, +1.6%; Total $: $70.578, $4.80B (+7.3%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.80B
    • Supplies ↑$0.82B
    • services ↑$0.25B
    • Vet $5.54

The $100K> group exceeded 50% of Pet $ for the 1st time in 2020. Their lead is still growing as they now do 59.4%.

Income Recap –  The top 2 drivers in consumer spending behavior are value (quality + price) and convenience. That results from the biggest human motivator – fear. This drove the binge buying of pet food in 2020. The huge lift pushed the 50/50 $ divide up to $103K, a big change from $94K in 2019. 2021 brought a record lift and record spending in all segments but Food. This lift was driven by the $150K> group and the 50/50 spending divide rose to $107K. In 2022, Food & Services $ grew while Vet & Supplies fell. A big lift by $100>149K pushed the divide up  to $108K. In 2023, all segments grew, but especially Food and Vet.  The lift wthe 50/50 $ divide grew to 114K. In 2024, there was a 1.1% lift but it was driven by $150K> so the 50/50 divide jumped to $124K. Income continues to grow in importance in Total Pet Spending.

Next let’s look at 2024 Total Pet Spending by Age Group

The 25>54 & 75> groups had the only lifts. The biggest was +$3.02B by 45>54. The biggest drop was by 65>74, -$2.7B.

Nationally:  Total Pet: $1.27B   · Food: ↓$5.46B  · Supplies: ↑$0.89B  · Services: ↑$0.23B  · Veterinary: ↑$5.60B

  • <25 – (4.9% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $414.87, -36.5%; Total $: $2.71B, ↓$1.34B (-33.1%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.19B
    • Supplies ↓$0.52B
    • Services ↓$0.10B
    • Vet $0.46B

Many larger CUs split and the number with pets likely fell. Those with pets value shopped. Overall, 10.9% more CUs spent 13.2% less $, 30.5% less often.

  • 25-34 – (15.0% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $820.62, +2.6%; Total $: $17.04B, $0.28B (+1.7%) from
    • Food ↓$1.26B
    • Supplies ↓$0.32B
    • Services ↑$0.19B
    • Vet $1.67B

In 21 they had a big lift in all segments. In 22, spending fell in all but Services. In 23 spending was +15.7% due to lifts in Food & Vet. In 24 Vet spending drove a small lift as 3.5% less CUs spent 2.8% more $, 2.6% more often.

  • 35-44 – (17.9% of CUs); CU Pet Spending: $968.43, +3.9%; Total $: $23.43B, $1.32B (+6.0%) from…
    • Food ↓$1.40B
    • Supplies ↑$0.73B
    • Services ↓$0.04B
    • Vet $2.02B

They have the largest families and are building their careers. In 21 they spent more in all segments and became #1 in Total Pet $. In 22 spending decreased and they fell to #3. In 23 they had lifts in all segments but stayed #3. In 24, lifts in Vet & Supplies kept them #3 as 2.8% more CUs spent 9.7% more $, 6.1% less often.

  • 45-54 – (16.3% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $1155.34, +15.7%; Total $: $25.53B, $3.02B (+13.4%) from…
    • Food $0.78B
    • Supplies ↓$0.12B
    • Services ↑$0.83B
    • Vet $1.53B

They have the highest income and were #1 in Pet Spending in 2018. In 2019 & 2020 their spending and rank fell. In 2021, 2022 & 2023 their spending grew but they stayed #2. In 2024, all but Supplies $ were up and their total lift was 13.4%. They rose to #1 in CU spending and in total $. 2.4% less CUs spent 16.3% more $, 0.05% less often.

  • 55-64 – (17.6% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $1009.96, -0.6%; Total $: $24.22B, ↓$0.16B (-0.7%) from…
    • Food $0.23B
    • Supplies ↑$0.34B
    • Services ↓$0.39B
    • Vet ↓$0.34B

60% are younger Baby Boomers and they are very reactive. They drove the 20>21 binge/bust in Pet Food. In 22, spending normalized and they returned to #1. In 23, big lifts in the Services & Vet kept them #1. In 24 spending was mixed – Products↑ & Services↓. They fell to #2 as 0.1% fewer CUs spent 2.0% more $, 2.5% less often

  • 65-74 – (16.6% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $760.56, -16.4%; Total $: $17.01B, ↓$2.70B (-13.7%) from…
    • Food ↓$2.42B
    • Supplies ↑$0.29B
    • Services ↓$0.48B
    • Vet ↓$0.09B

This group is all Baby Boomers. They are careful with their money, but their commitment to their pets is very apparent. They are the only group with a spending increase every year from 2020>2023. In 24 spending fell -13.7% with drops in all but Supplies as 4.6% more CUs spent 3.5% less $, 14.5% less often.

  • 75> – (11.6% of U.S. CUs); CU Pet Spending: $568.43, +9.0%; Total $: $8.92B, $0.85B (+10.5%) from…
    • Food ↓$0.20B
    • Supp $0.48B
    • Serv $0.22B
    • Vet ↑$0.35B

Pet parenting is more difficult, and money is tight for these oldest Pet Parents, but their commitment is still there. In 2021 they had increases in all segments. In 2022, only Food $ fell, but the drop was substantial. In 2023, they  had a strong rebound in spending as their $ grew in all segments but Supplies, including a 35.4% lift in Pet Food. In 2024 only Food $ fell and they had a +10.5% increase as 1.3% more CUs spent 26.6% more $, 13.8% less often.

Age Group Recap: In 2022 Total Pet Spending skewed away from <45 to the 45>74 groups.  In 2023, this reversed as <45 generated 46% of the $ lift. In 2024 45>54 had the biggest lift +$3.02B, but overall 25>54 was +4.62B.

Next, we’ll take a look at some other key demographic “movers” in 2024 Total Pet Spending. The segments that are outlined in black “flipped” from 1st to last or vice versa from 2023. The red outline stayed the same.

In 24, 47 of 92 Demographic Segments (51.1%) spent more on their Pets, a big drop from 91% in 23. Another difference was that in 24 there was no category where all segments spent more. In 23 there were 6. However, there was similar level of stability in 24 as 4 segments held their spot and only 4 of the 24 segments flipped from 1st to last or vice versa. In 23 there were 3 flips and 5 “holds”. In 23, all of the biggest lifts were significantly larger than the biggest drops. In 24 there were only 4. We should also note the strong stability in the Area Type category. Both the winner and loser held their position  in 2022>24. There was one big change in 24. Not only did they hold their position in 22 & 23 but in both years, there were no segments in the Area Type category with a decrease in Total Pet Spending. In 24 that ended.

Let’s look at some specifics.

10 of the winners are often on Top and almost all of them have higher incomes.

Only 1 winner is surprising. They have the highest income but the lowest % of pet ownership.

  • Asian

Among the losers, 6 often find themselves in this position.

  • Singles      65>74    1 Person     Renters     Single, 1 Earner     • <$30K    

All have lower incomes. There were 3 surprises:

  • Boomers      Rural     White, Not Hispanic 

Only Whites have a high income, but Boomers are pet committed & Rural is a big Pet spender, $1133 per CU.

Recap: After a slight downturn in 2019, Pet Spending turned up in 2020, primarily due to the pandemic binge buying of Pet Food. This ended in 2021 and Food $ fell. However, it was replaced by binges in the other segments. Pet Parents caught up with all the Supplies purchases that they had postponed due to the pandemic. COVID also caused them to focus on the health of their Pet Children so Veterinary also had a record increase. Services were hit hard by pandemic restrictions and closures, but they came back strong. Together, this produced a $16.23B increase in Pet Spending. 2022 brought a new challenge – radically high inflation. Supplies and Veterinary had drops in spending as their 2021 binge couldn’t be repeated. Food spending bounced back with a 12.5% increase. However, the Food lift didn’t make up for the combined drop in Veterinary & Supplies. Without the record increase in Services, Pet spending would have fallen in 2022 rather than being up $2.73B (+2.7%). However, if you consider 8.9% Petflation in 2022, the amount of Pet Products & Services sold in 2022 was really down 5.7%. Although inflation was still high in 23, 8.0%, spending grew $14.89B to $117.60B, +14.5% (Real: +6.0%) and the lift was widespread as 90.6% of demographics spent more. It was 78.1% with inflation. In 24 inflation slowed to 2.6% but the lift fell to +1.1% for a Total of $118.87B. Food had the only drop, but it was a record. Veterinary drove the 23>24 lift. However, only 51.1% of demographics spent more, a big drop from 90.6% in 23. Also, with 2.6% inflation, the 1.1% lift was really a –1.5% drop. Spending moved a little younger as 45>54 returned to #1. However, the strongest trend was in income. The $150K> group had a +$5.54B lift and the 50/50 spending divide grew from $114K to $124K. In 2019, it was only $94K. In 2024, high income was by far the biggest driver in Pet Spending.

2024 U.S. VETERINARY SERVICES SPENDING $41.26B…Up $5.60B

For years, Veterinary Services has been the second largest segment in the Pet Industry. For most of that time, high inflation has been a problem in the segment. Spending grew 24.0% from 2014>2019. Prices rose 17.4%, an avg of 3.3%. This caused a reduction of visit frequency and only 28% of the growth was “real” (avg real growth: +1.3%). In late 2020 & 2021, COVID focused Pet Parents on their “children’s” needs, including Veterinary Services. In 2021 Veterinary Spending reached $32.76 with 87% “real” growth. In 2022 the binge was not repeated so spending dropped. Inflation was still high in 23, 9.4% and 7.4% in 24. However, the higher incomes again focused on the needs of their pet children and drove two $5+B increases in Veterinary Services spending including a +$5.6B (+15.7%) lift in 24 to a new record high of $41.26B. This is more than Pet Food so in 2024, Veterinary Services became the largest segment.

In this report, we’ll take a closer look at the demographics behind the 2024 numbers. Note: All 2024 numbers in this report come from or are calculated by using data from the US BLS Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey, rather than their Diary report. The low frequency of Veterinary Visits is still generating an extremely high variation in Diary data. Interview is a more logical and accurate way to track Veterinary Services Expenditures.

Let’s get started. Veterinary Spending per CU in 2024 was $303.93 up 14.7% from $265.02 in 2023. (Note: A 2024 Pet CU (68%) Spent $446.96. More specifically, the 15.7% increase in Veterinary spending came as a result of:

  • 0.9% more CU’s
  • Spending 16.7% more $
  • 1.7% less often

We’ll take a closer look. But first, the chart below gives an overview of recent Veterinary Spending.

The big drop in the first half of 2015 was tied to the upgrade to Super Premium Foods – Trading $. Then consumers began value shopping for Food and the savings freed up $ for Veterinary Services. Spending began to climb until it flattened out at the beginning of 2017. Inflation slowed in the 2nd half and spending took off. In 2018 prices turned up and consumers held their ground through 2019. The initial COVID reaction in 2020 was a drop in spending but “need focused” consumers then drove a huge increase through 2021. In 2022, inflation grew to 8.8% and spending dropped. Inflation rose to 9.4% in 23, then slowed to 7.4% in 24 but the highest incomes drove two $5+B lifts.

Now, let’s look at Veterinary spending by some specific demographics. First, here is a chart by Income Group

Veterinary Spending is even more driven by income. All groups but $70K>150K spent more in 2024. The biggest and actually all of the lift came from the $150> group, +$5.68B. All income groups below $150K had a total change of -$0.08B. This caused the 50/50 spending break point in $ to increase significantly from $124K in 2023 to $141K in 2024.

National: $303.93 per CU (+14.7%) – $41.26B – Up $5.60B (+15.7%)

  • Over $150K (21.7% of CUs) – $653.56/CU (+28.5%) $19.21B, Up $5.68B (+42.0%) This highest income group is the biggest Veterinary Spender as 21.7% of CUs generated 46.6% of 2024 $ but also 101.4% of the increase from 2023.
  • $100>150K (16.3% of CUs) – $366.55/CU (-0.5%) $8.10B, Down $0.14B (-1.7%) Spending by this middle/upper income group slowed in 2019 but took off in 20>21, stabilized in 22, grew over 20% in 23, then fell 1.7% in 24.
  • $70K>100K (14.4% of CUs) – $273.93/CU (-3.9%) $5.36B, Down $0.04B (-0.8%) Steady growth 2016>19, then $ fell in 2020. 21 had a big COVID lift. High 22 inflation caused a drop, but spending recovered in 23, then stabilized in 24.
  • $30K>70K (27.6% of CUs) – $174.48/CU (+1.9%) $6.53B, Up $0.02B (+0.4%) From 2016 to 2020 their pattern was remarkably similar to the big spending $150K+ group. That changed in 2021 as they were the only group to spend less in Vet $ while $150K> had the biggest lift. In 2022>24 the up/down match returned, but at a much lower level.
  • Under $30K (20.1% of CUs) $75.44/CU (+9.6%) $2.06B, Up $0.09B (+4.4%) This group is very price sensitive. After the big spending dip in 2018, they slowly but consistently increased Veterinary spending until the small drop in 2022. In 2023, their spending plummeted, the only drop. In 24 spending turned up 4.4% but they’re still 13% below 2019.

Now, here is Veterinary Spending by Age Group

All groups but 55>74 spent more. The groups in 25>54 all had lifts over $1.5B. <25 again had the biggest % lift, +41.8%.

National: $303.93 per CU (+14.7%) – $41.26B – Up $5.60B (+15.7%)

  • <25 (4.9% of CUs) – $233.13/CU (+201.2%) – $1.56B – Up $0.46B (+41.8%) Many split CUs and many also added pets but cut visit frequency so 10.9% more CUs spent 61.8% more $ …20.7% less often.
  • 25>34 (15.0% of CUs) – $317.92/CU (+13.3%) – $6.47B – $1.67B (+34.8%) The commitment of these Millennials to their pets is growing. Spending was stable 2017>19. COVID caused Vet spending to take off In 2020>21. In 22 $ dropped, but they came back strong in 23 & stronger in 24 as 3.5% less CUs spent 43.1% more $ …2.4% less often
  • 35>44 (17.9% of CUs) – $350.84/CU (+22.8%) – $8.52B – $2.02B (+31.2%) In 2019, they radically increased their spending and became #1 in Veterinary $. In 2020, spending dropped. In 21 they had the biggest % increase. In 22 their spending fell but grew in 23/24. They’re #1 again as 2.8% more CUs spent 25.4% more $ …1.8% more often
  • 45>54 (16.3% of CUs) – $380.88/CU (+0.05%) – $8.44B – Up $1.53B (+22.2%) This group has the highest income, but value is important. In 2017, the slowed inflation caused them to spend significantly more money. In 2018, prices turned up and continued to inflate in 2019. Spending dropped precipitously to their 2016 level, and they lost #1 spot in Veterinary $. 2020 brought a big spending lift which continued into 2021>22. In 22, They returned to #1 in Vet $. In 23 their spending stabilized and grew in 24 as 2.4% less CUs spent 19.0% more $…5.3% more often. Still #2.
  • 55>64 (17.6% of CUs) – $332.61/CU (+37.9%) – $7.95B – ↓ $0.34B (-4.1%) This group was the leader in Veterinary Spending prior to 2015. In 2015 they upgraded to Super Premium Food and Vet Spending fell. In 2016 inflation slowed and they regained the top spot. In 2018 Veterinary prices began to strongly inflate again. Their spending fell and continued down into 2019. In 2020 they moved back to the top in Veterinary Spending. They stayed there with a big lift in 21. In 22 their spending binge ended so they fell to #2. In 23 inflation was 9.4% but a $2B lift moved pushed them back to #1. A small drop in 24 as 0.1% less CUs spent 3.0% more $, 6.8% less often. They fell to #3.
  • 65>74 (16.6% of CUs) – $238.33/CU (+17.0%) – $5.38B – ↓ $0.09B (-1.7%) This group is all Boomers, so they are committed to their pets. They had consistent annual growth from 2018>2021. In 2022 they had a small dip. In 23 they came back but another small dip in 24 as 4.6% more CUs spent 12.3% less $, 7.1% more often.
  • 75> (11.6% of CUs) – $186.22/CU (+11.4%) – $2.94B – Up $0.35B (+13.3%) This group of oldest Pet Parents has a strong commitment to their pets. In 2015, they had a $1B increase in Veterinary Spending. In 2016 & 2017, they focused on Food, Supplies and Services. In 2018, they turned their attention back to Veterinary. However, their spending has slowly but consistently grown every year since 2015 – the only group to accomplish this. In 2024 1.3% more CUs spent 31.4% more $ …14.9% less often. This produced another 13% increase in spending.

Now, let’s take a look at some other key demographic “movers” behind the 2024 Veterinary Spending numbers.

Veterinary spending rose by $5.60B (+15.7%) in 2024. With a still high 7.4% inflation rate, the real lift in the amount of Veterinary services bought was only 7.7% (Real: 49.0%). 80.4% of 92 demographic segments spent more on Veterinary Services in 2024 than in 2023, a small drop from last year when 82.3% of segments spent more. BTW – Considering inflation, only 67.4% “really” spent more in 2024. There was less turmoil as 3 of 24 flipped from first to last or vice versa and 9 maintained their position from 2023. Last year there were 12 flips but only 1 “stayed the same”. We should also note that there were 2 categories in which all segments spent more. In 2023 there were 4.

All of the “winners” are often found at the top. There were no true surprises. They have a common trait – higher income

In the “losing” group, most were expected. There were 3 that were somewhat surprising.

    ∙ 55>64 yr olds    West   Baby Boomers              

Two are surprising because they, not Boomers, have higher incomes. Most other “losers” have below average incomes.

Despite the $3.09B drop from 2021 to mid-yr 2023, Veterinary spending has increased +$20.55B (92.2%) from mid-yr 2020 through 2024. In Veterinary spending, inflation is always a factor. It has traditionally been high but 87% of the 2020>21 growth was real. However, prices rose 8.8% in 22, 9.4% in 23 and 7.4% in 24 for a 2021>24 inflation rate of 27.9%. That means that the 26.3% 2021>24 spending lift was really a -1.3% drop in the amount of Veterinary Services sold. High inflation is still a big problem in the Veterinary segment.

The 2022 decrease was widespread as 77% of all segments spent less including 3 categories where all segments had decreased Veterinary spending. The 23 $5.95B (20.0%) and 24 $5.60B (+15.7%) lifts had the opposite pattern as 80+% of demographics spent more. In 23, 4 categories had no segments with a spending decrease but it slowed to 1 in 24.

Prior to 2020 there was a youth movement in Veterinary Spending from <45. That changed in 2020 as 45> accounted for 94% of the $3B increase. In 2020, 2021 & 2023 the 55>64 yr-olds were on top. In 2022 it was the 45>54 yr-olds. The $ were skewing older. That changed in 24 as the 35>44 group moved to the top. 45>54 is a close 2nd and groups <55 now account for 60.6% of Veterinary $. Although Veterinary services are needed by all Pet Parents, higher income is by far the biggest driver in spending. This is best illustrated by comparing 2024 segment performance (Share of $/Share of CUs):

  • <$30K: 24.8%
  • $30>69K: 51.3%
  • $70K>99K: 90.1%
  • $100>149K: 120.6%
  • $150>199K: 229.9%
  • $200K>: 203.5% 

This trend is getting stronger as incomes $150> now account for 46.6% of Veterinary spending and produced 78.4% of the $11.6B 22>24 lift. Vet Services are needed by all but are becoming less affordable for many.

Retail Channel $ Update – October Monthly & November Advance

Due to the shutdown, no CPIs were produced In October. Based upon the Sep/Nov data, we were able to estimate the Oct CPIs using a procedure from the US BLS’ Methodology Manual. Total Retail $ were +1.9% vs 24, 58.4% below their Nov avg (4.8%). Relevant Retail $ were +3.0% vs 24, 34.7% below the 4.7% avg. There are other factors besides the CPI impacting sales, including high cumulative inflation and tarifflation binge buying. It is a complex situation. The problem with YOY drops & the size of sales lifts is still concerning.

We’ll continue to track the retail market with data from 2 reports provided by the Census Bureau and then factor in a targeted CPI. The reports are the Monthly and the Advance Retail Sales Reports. Both are derived from sales data gathered from retailers across the U.S. and are published monthly at the same time. They are about a month late due to the shutdown. The Monthly Report includes data from all respondents, so it takes longer to compile. Although the sample size for the Advance report is smaller, the results have proven it to be statistically accurate with the Monthly. The Advance Report has a smaller sample size so it can be published quickly. The biggest difference is that the full sample in the Monthly report allows us to “drill” a little deeper into the channels.

We will begin with the October Monthly Report and then go to the November Advance Report. Our focus is comparing to last year but also 21 & 19. We’ll show both actual and the “real” change in sales as we factor inflation into the data.

Both reports normally include the following:

  • Total Retail, Restaurants, Auto, Gas Stations and Relevant Retail (removing Restaurants, Auto and Gas)
  • Individual Channel Data – This is more detailed in the Monthly reports, and we’ll focus on Pet Relevant Channels.

The data will be presented in detailed charts to facilitate visual comparison between groups/channels. The charts will show 11 separate measurements. To save space they will be displayed in a stacked bar format for the channel charts.

  • Current Month change – % & $ vs previous month
  • Current Month change – % & $ vs same month last year and vs 2021.
    • Current Month Real change vs last year and vs 2021 – % factoring in inflation
  • Current Ytd change – % & $ for this year vs last year, 2021 & 2019.
    • Current Ytd Real change % for this year vs last year and vs 2021 and 2019
  • Monthly & Ytd $ & CPIs for this year vs last year and vs 2021 which are targeted by channel will also be shown. (CPI Details are at the end of the report – (October data are estimates)

First, the October Monthly. All were up from Sep and there was only 1 actual YOY sales drop, Gas Stations Ytd vs 24. Note: They are still selling more product than in 2019. 3 groups are “all positive”, down from 4 in Aug>Sep. Relevant Retail has been all positive in 20 of the last 24 months and in 16 of the last 18. ($ are Not Seasonally Adjusted)

The Oct Monthly is $1.9B less than the Advance report. Restaurants: +$0.4B; Auto: No Change; Gas Stations: -$0.2B; Relevant Retail: -$2.2B. All were up from Sep. A Sep>Oct lift in Total Retail  has happened every year but 2008 since 1992 but the 4.9% lift was 40% above the 3.5% avg. There was only 1 YOY drop in actual sales, the same as Sep, but 1 less than Mar>Aug. There was 1 “real” sales drop, up from none in Aug/Sep but far less than the 5 in Mar. 3 groups were “all positive”, down from 4 in Aug/Sep, but equal to Mar>Jul. Restaurants still have the biggest increases vs 21 & 19 but Relevant Retl stayed at the top of “real” performance vs 2019. However, only 52.5% of their growth is real.

Now, let’s see how some Key Pet Relevant channels did in October (83% of Oct Ytd Rel Retl $)

Overall– All 11 were up from Sep. Vs Oct 24, 9 were actually & “really” up. Vs Oct 21, 9 were up but only 7 were real increases. Vs 2019, Only Dept Strs were actually & really down, but Off/Gift/Souv were also really down.

  • Building Material Stores – The pandemic focus on home has produced sales growth of 29.9% since 2019. Prices for the Bldg/Matl group have inflated 18.7% from 21 and 23.8% from 2019 which is having an impact. Sales vs Sep were +4.9% for HomeCtr/Hdwe and +6.1% for Farm Stores. Vs other years, Farm stores are actually up for all, but vs Oct 24. Real $ were down vs 21. HomCtr/Hdwe are only actually up vs 21 & 2019. They are really down for all but vs 2019. Plus, only 17% of the Bldg Materials group’s 19>25 lift was real. HomeCtr/Hdwe: Ytd: -2.6%; Avg 19>25 Growth: 4.1%, Real: 0.4%; Farm: Ytd: +4.3%; Avg: 6.4%, Real: 2.6%
  • Food & Drug – Both are essential. Except for the COVID food binge, they tend to have smaller changes in $. Vs: Sep Supermarkets: +4.8%; Drug: +4.0%. In terms of inflation, the Groceries rate is 2+ times higher than Drug/Med products. Drug Stores are positive in all measurements and 70% of their 2019>25 growth is real. Supermarkets’ actual $ are up in all comparisons. They are only “really” down monthly and Ytd vs 21. However, only 9% of their 19>25 increase is real growth. Supermarkets: Ytd: +3.5%; Avg 19>25: +4.9%, Real: +0.5%; Drug Stores: Ytd: +8.1%; Avg: +5.9%, Real: +4.3%.
  • Sporting Goods Stores – They also benefited from the pandemic in that consumers turned to self-entertainment, especially sports & outdoor activities. Sales are +4.2% from Sep, and their only positives are actual & real vs Oct 24 and vs 2019. Prices stopped deflating vs 24. Deflation started in April 23 and was a big change from +1.1% in 22>23 & +7.9% in 21>22. This caused 68% of their 32% lift since 19 to be real. Ytd: -2.2%; Avg 19>25: +4.7%; Real: +3.3%.
  • Gen Mdse Stores – Sales were +8.5% vs Sep, all YOY sales – actual & real were up for $ Stores and SupCtr/Clubs. Dept Stores are negative in all comparisons but vs Oct 24. Their Actual sales are even -29.1% from 19 (Real: -36.1%). The other channels have an average of 42.1% in real growth. SupCtr/Club: Ytd: +2.5%; Avg 19>25: 5.1%, Real: 2.3%; $/Value Strs: Ytd: +2.0%; Avg: +5.5%, Real: +2.7%; Dept. Strs: Ytd: -1.8%; Avg: -5.6%, Real: -7.2%.
  • Office, Gift & Souvenir Stores – Sales skyrocketed +40.2% from Sep. They are now actually up in all comparisons and really down only Ytd vs 21 & 19. Their recovery started late. It was slowly restarting in Jun/Jul, but their progress had slowed. It exploded positively in October. They have mostly recovered. Ytd: +3.9%; Avg Growth Rate: 0.4%, Real: -1.3%
  • Internet/Mail Order – Sales are +8.8% from Sep to $124.8B, an Oct record. All YOY measurements are positive, but their YOY growth, +7.3%, is only 59% of their average since 2019. However, 82.4% of their 124.8% growth since 2019 is real. Ytd: +7.3%; Avg Growth: +14.5%, Real: +12.5%. As expected, they are by far the growth leader since 2019.
  • A/O Miscellaneous – Pet Stores are 22>24% of total $. In May 2020 they began their recovery which reached $100B for the first time in 2021. In 2022 their sales dipped in Jan, Jul, Sep>Nov, rose in Dec, fell in Jan>Feb 23, grew Mar>May, fell Jun>Aug, rose Sep>Nov, fell Dec>Jan 24, grew Feb>May, fell Jun>Sep, grew Oct, fell Nov, rose Dec, fell Jan>Feb, grew Mar>May, fell Jun>Sep, rose Oct. All comparisons are again positive, and they are in 2nd place, behind the Internet, in the % increase vs 19 and vs 21. Also, 77% of their 76.4% growth since 2019 is real. Ytd: +9.3%; Avg 19>25: 9.3%, Real:+7.5%

Oct had a 4.9% lift vs Sep. All Big groups & all 11 smaller channels were up. The YOY Oct lift vs 24 was 3.5% for Total & 4.0%  for Relevant Retl. (Avg for both: 4.6%) Prices are now not deflating in any channel, but cumulative inflation still impacts sales as 4 channels were ‘really’ down vs Oct 21. However, the Retail Recovery has definitely restarted.

Now, Let’s Take an Advance Look at November – First the Big Groups

Oct>Nov sales were down for all but Relevant Retail. An Oct>Nov Total Retail drop has only happened 8 times since 1992. The -0.8% drop is much worse than the +1.2% avg change. There were 3 YOY $ drops, 2 more than Oct. All but Auto were up vs Nov 24, but the Total Retail lift of 1.9% vs Nov 24 was 58.4% below their +4.7% 92>24 avg. The Relevant Retail 3.0% increase vs Nov 24 was 34.7% below their +4.7% avg. Inflation is still a factor. The CPI for all commodities stayed at 1.8% vs 24 but it fell to 8.6% vs 21. There is some Ok “real” news. Only 1 “real” measurement was down, the same as Oct and Gas Stations are again “really” up vs 2019. However, again only 3 Big Groups are all positive, down from 4 in Jul>Aug. Relevant Retail has been all positive in 17 of the last 19 months.

Overall Inflation Reality– The Total Retail CPI stayed at 1.8% but the $ lift vs 24 fell to 58.4% below avg. The Restaurant CPI slowed to +3.6% but their $ lift fell to 32.2% below avg. Gas prices flipped to +1.1%. They are still in turmoil. Auto inflation slowed to 1.7% vs 24 & 21, but sales fell -3.0% vs 24. Avg change: +4.5% – pre-tariff buying is over. Inflation slowed to 1.5% for Relevant Retail. Their lift was 34.7% below avg but they are again all positive. Progress slowed in Nov.

Total Retail – Since Jun 20, every month but Apr 23, Jun 24 & Feb 25 has set a monthly $ales record. In 2023>25, Sales were on a roller coaster. Up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct>Dec, down Jan 24, up Feb>Mar, down April, up May, down Jun, up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct>Dec, down Jan>Feb 25, up Mar, down Apr, up May, down Jun, up Jul>Aug, down Sep, up Oct, down Nov. Prices are 1.8% and YOY $ are +1.9%, 58.4% below the 92>24 avg. 42% of the 19>25 growth is real.  Inflation slowed but cumulative inflation is still impacting sales. Growth: 24>25: 3.7%; Avg 19>25: +6.2%, Real: +2.8%.

Restaurants – They were hit hard by the pandemic and didn’t begin recovery until March 2021. However, they have had strong growth since then, exceeding $1T for the 1st time in 2023. November $ are up vs 24 and they have the biggest lifts vs 21 & 19. Inflation slowed to 3.6% vs 24 but it is +22.5% vs 21 and +32.0% vs 19. Their 3.8% YOY lift is 32% below their +5.6% 92>24 avg. They are all positive again, but just 32.7% of their 56.5% growth since 2019 is real. They are 3rd in performance behind Relevant & Total Retail. Recovery started late but inflation started early. Growth: 5.4%; Avg 19>25:+7.7%, Real: +2.9%. They just account for 13.7% of Total Retail $, but their strong growth has helped Total Retail.

Auto (Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers) – They overcame the stay-at-home attitude with great deals and advertising. They finished 2020 up 1% vs 2019 and hit a record $1.48T in 2021 but much of it was due to skyrocketing inflation. In 22, sales got on a rollercoaster. Inflation started to drop mid-year, but it caused 4 down months in actual $. Their YE real 2022 sales numbers were even worse, -8.2% vs 21 and -8.9% vs 19. 23 started a sales rollercoaster but the $ hit a record, $1.595T. $ fell in Jan 24, grew Feb>Mar, fell Apr, grew May, fell June, grew Jul>Aug, fell Sep, grew Oct, fell Nov, grew Dec, fell Jan>Feb 25, grew Mar, fell Apr>Jun, rose Jul>Aug, fell Sep, rose Oct, fell Nov. Nov $ were -3.0% vs 24. Avg: 4.5% Like Oct, they are not all positive and just 22.8% of 19>25 growth is real. Growth: 4.0%; Avg 19>25: +5.2%, Real: +1.3%

Gas Stations – Gas Stations were hit hard by “stay at home”. They started recovery in Mar 21, and inflation began. Sales got on a rollercoaster in 22 but set a record, $583B. Inflation started to slow in Aug and prices slightly deflated in Dec & Feb 23, then strongly fell in Mar>Jul to -20.2%. In Aug they rose to -3.7%. In Sep they were +2.7% but began deflating to -4.2% in Feb 24. In Mar>May $ grew, fell Jun, rose July, fell Aug/Sep, rose Oct, fell Nov>Feb 25, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug>Oct, up Nov. Nov $ vs 24: +1.9% (4.6% avg). Down Ytd vs 24 & vs Nov 21. Real $ are all positive. Growth: -1.7%; Avg 19>25: +3.3%, Real: 0.1%.They show the cumulative impact of inflation can be positive & negative.

Relevant Retail – Less Auto, Gas and Restaurants– They account for ≈60% of Total Retail $ in a variety of channels. Their only down month until Feb 25 was Apr 20, and they led the way in Retail’s recovery. Sales got on a roller coaster in 22, but all months set new records with Dec reaching a new all-time high, $481B, and an annual record of $4.81T. In 23, the roller coaster continued. A Dec lift set a new monthly record of $494.7B & an annual record of $4.997T. $ales got back on the roller coaster in 24. The ride continued as $ rose Oct>Jan 25, fell Feb, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug>Sep, rose Oct/Nov. The Nov 3.0% YOY lift is 34.7% below their 92>24 avg of +4.7%. However, they are all positive again and 42.3% of their 46.7% 19>25 growth is real, #1 in Big Group performance. Growth: 4.0%; Avg 19>25: +6.6%, Real: +3.1%. In 2024 their inflation rate dropped from 3.2% to 0.1%. It rose in 25, peaking at 1.8% in Sep then slowing to 1.5% in Oct>Nov. YOY Inflation is pretty low, but its cumulative impact can slow growth. We’ll see.

YOY inflation is low, but cumulative & impending lifts can affect sales. In Nov, 3 actual YOY $ comparison were negative, 2 more than Sep>Oct. In Aug/Sep, there were no real drops. That rose to 1 in Oct>Nov. In Sep, Gas Stations were down vs 24 & all others up, with above avg lifts. In Oct all were up with below avg lifts. In Nov only Auto was down but the lifts were all below avg. In Oct/Nov, 3 big groups were all positive. (4 in Aug/Sep) Relevant Retail has now been all positive in 17 of 19 months. Nov sales fell vs Oct. The drop was unexpected, but the 2nd smallest since 92. Recovery is still slow.

Here’s a more detailed look at November by Key Channels (98% of November Ytd Rel Retl $)

  • Relevant Retail: Ytd Growth: +4.0%; Avg 19>25: +6.6%; Real: 3.1%. % Real Growth: 42.3%. 7 of 11 were up from October. Vs Nov 24: 9 were up; 8 Real. Vs Nov 21: 8 were up; 7 Real. Vs 19: Only Dept Stores were down.
  • All Department Stores – This group was struggling before the pandemic hit them hard. They began recovery in March 2021. Sales are +29.9% from Oct, but all YOY measurements but vs Nov 24 are negative. Their 0.2% Nov YOY lift is miniscule but a big change from their -4.4% avg. Ytd Growth: -1.5%; Avg 19>25: -5.5%; Real: -7.1%. % Real growth: None
  • Club/SuprCtr/$- They fueled a big part of the recovery because they focus on value which has broad consumer appeal. $ales are +3.9% from Oct, and they are up in all comparisons. Their 1.6% YOY Oct lift is -80% below their 92>24 avg of +7.9%. Ytd Growth: 2.3%; Avg 19>25: +5.1%; Real: 1.4%. % Real Growth: 24.1%
  • Grocery- They depend on frequent purchases, so their changes are usually less radical. $ales are unchanged from Oct, but only really down vs 21. Cumulative inflation has hit them hard, especially monthly & Ytd vs 21. Their 2.2% YOY Nov lift is 32.1% below avg. Ytd Growth: 2.8%; Avg 19>25: +4.8%; Real: 0.4%. % Real Growth: 7.1%
  • Health/Drug Stores – Many stores are essential, but consumers visit less frequently than Grocery stores. $ are -7.7% from Oct but they are positive in all comparisons. Inflation has been relatively low, so it is a bit of a surprise that their +4.5% YOY lift vs Nov 24 is 15.6% below avg. Ytd Growth: 6.9%; Avg 19>25: +5.6%; Real: 4.0%. % Real Growth: 68.9%
  • Clothing and Accessories – Clothes mattered less if you stayed home. That changed in March 2021 with strong growth through 2022. Sales are +18.3% from Oct and positive in all YOY measurements. $ales are +7.4% vs Nov 24, more than double their 3.1% avg. Ytd Growth: 5.5%; Avg 19>25: +3.4%; Real: 2.5%. % Real Growth: 70.4%.
  • Home Furnishings – In mid-2020 consumers’ focus turned to their homes and furniture became a priority. Inflation is up to 2.9% in Nov. $ are +5.3% from Oct but are only up Ytd vs 24 & 19. YOY vs Nov 24, they are -4.1%, far below their 3.2% avg lift. Ytd Growth: 3.0%; Avg 19>25:+2.4%; Real: 0.1%. % Real Growth: 4.5%.
  • Electronic & Appliances – They have had many issues. Sales fell in Apr>May of 2020 and didn’t reach 2019 levels until March 21. $ are +18.0% from Oct and they are only down Ytd vs 21. They have had strong deflation so real sales are all up. Sales are +0.8% vs Nov 24, 63% below the avg. Ytd Growth: 0.6%; Avg 19>25: 0.5%; Real: 3.7%. Real Growth: 12.6%
  • Building Material, Farm & Garden & Hardware – They truly benefited from the consumers’ focus on home. In 2022 the lift slowed as inflation grew to double digits. Prices turned up again in Apr>Sep 25 but dropped Oct/Nov. Sales are down 10.2% from Oct and only up Ytd vs 21 & 19. YOY sales vs Nov 24 were -5.0%, far below their 4.4% Avg. Ytd Growth: -1.8%; Avg 19>25: +4.4%; Real: 0.8%. % Real Growth: 15.9%.
  • Sporting Goods, Hobby and Book Stores – Consumers turned their attention to recreation and Sporting Goods stores sales took off. Book & Hobby Stores recovered more slowly. They have been on a sales roller coaster since June 24 and $ are +19.0% from Oct. Actual & Real sales are only down Ytd vs 21. YOY Sales vs Nov 24 are +5.9%, more than double their 2.8% avg. Ytd Growth: +1.8%; Avg 19>25: +4.2%; Real: 3.4%. % Real Growth: 80.9%.
  • All Miscellaneous Stores – Pet Stores have been a key part of the strong and growing recovery of this group. They finished 2020 at +0.9% but sales took off in March 21 and have continued to grow. Sales are -10.1% vs Oct, but positive in all comparisons. They are 2nd in the % increases vs 19 & vs 21. Plus, their 14.6% YOY Nov lift is 4 times more than their 92>24 avg of +3.7%. Ytd Growth: +9.1%; Avg 19>25: +7.1%; Real: 5.3%. % Real Growth: 70.9%.
  • NonStore Retailers – 90% of their $ comes from Internet/Mail Order/TV. The pandemic accelerated online spending. They ended 2020 +21.4%. The growth continued in 2021 as sales exceeded $100B for the 1st time and they broke the $1 Trillion barrier. $ are +6.8% from Oct but their YOY lift of 5.5% is -44% below the 9.8% avg. However, they are positive in all comparisons. Ytd Growth: 6.9%; Avg 19>25: +13.5%; Real: 11.5%. % Real Growth: 81.5%.

Recap – Driven by Relevant Retail, the Pandemic recovery was widespread by Y/E 21. In 22 we were hit with the strongest inflation in 40 years. Inflation has slowed considerably from its Jun 22 peak but only 1 channel is deflating. Deflation helps, but cumulative inflation can still have a negative impact – slowed YOY growth and even sales drops. $ rose from Oct for 7 of 11 channels. Only 2 of the 7 lifts were above avg. The biggest concern is still YOY drops and smaller lifts. Relevant Retail’s 3.0% lift vs Nov 24 was 35% below avg. 9 channels had a YOY lift vs Nov 24, 1 less than last month. Plus, only 3 of the 9 lifts were above avg, down from 7 in Oct and 6 in Sep. The situation worsened. There are at least 2 major factors. High prices from cumulative inflation and the move to shop earlier for the Holidays. Let’s follow the money. Nonstore, Grocery, SupCtr/Club/$ and Bldg/Farm are the 4 largest channels and account for 73% of Relevant Retl $. Bldg/Farm had a Nov drop while the other 3 had below avg lifts. The biggest YOY lift was in Sep for Nonstore and Oct for the others, so holiday shopping is moving earlier. Also, all are driven by value shopping. We’ll see what Dec brings.

Here are the Oct/Nov inflation rates for the CPIs used to calculate the impact of inflation on retail groups and channels. This includes special aggregate CPIs created with the instruction and guidance of the US BLS. I also researched data from the last Economic Census to review the share of sales by product category for the various channels to help in selecting what expenditures to include in specific aggregates. Of course, none of these specially created aggregates are 100% accurate but they are much closer than the overall CPI or available aggregates. The data includes the CPI changes vs 21 to show cumulative inflation. Note: Oct data are estimates using a procedure from the US BLS’ Methodology Manual.

Monthly YOY CPI changes of 0.2% or more are highlighted. (Green = lower; Pink = higher)

Here are some answers to some obvious questions. Note: The rate of change in CPI’s has definitely slowed.

  • Why is the group for Nonstore different from the Internet?
    • Non-store is not all internet. It also includes Fuel Oil Dealers, the non-motor fuel Energy Commodity.
  • Why is there no Food at home included in Nonstore or Internet?
    • Online Grocery purchasing is becoming popular, but almost all is from companies whose major business is brick ‘n mortar. These online sales are recorded under their primary channel.
  • 5 Channels have the same CPI aggregate but represent a variety of business types.
    • They also have a wide range of product types. Rather than try to build aggregates of a multitude of small expenditure categories, it seemed better to eliminate the biggest, influential groups that they don’t sell. This method is not perfect, but it is certainly closer than any existing aggregate.
  • Why are Grocery and Supermarkets only tied to the Grocery CPI?
    • According to the Economic Census, 76% of their sales comes from Grocery products. Grocery Products are the driver. The balance of their sales comes from a collection of a multitude of categories.
  • What about Drug/Health Stores only being tied to Medical Commodities.
    • An answer similar to the one for Grocery/Supermarkets. However, in this case Medical Commodities account for over 80% of these stores’ total sales.
  • Why do SuperCtrs/Clubs and $ Stores have the same CPI?
    • Big Stores sell more fresh groceries, Groceries account for ¼ of $ Store sales. Same Ctgys – different mix.

Petflation 2025 – December Update: Back up to +3.5% vs Last Year

It’s time to catch up with inflation. The Consumer Price Index peaked back in June 2022 at 9.1% then began to slow until it turned up in Jul/Aug 2023. Prices fell in Oct>Dec 23, then turned up Jan>Oct 24 but fell in Nov. However, they rose 10 straight months to a new record high in Sep, then fell Oct>Dec. The CPI vs 24 also slowed to +2.7% from +3.0% in Sep, the high point of 25. Grocery prices rose 0.5% from Nov and their YOY inflation rose to 2.4% from 1.9%. Even minor price changes can affect consumer pet spending, especially in the discretionary pet segments, so we will continue to publish monthly reports to track petflation as it evolves in the market.

Petflation was +4.1% in Dec 21 while the overall CPI was +7.0%. The gap narrowed as Petflation accelerated. It was 96.7% of the national rate in June 22. National inflation has slowed considerably, but Petflation generally increased until June 23. It passed the CPI in July 22, fell below it from Apr>Jul 24. It passed the CPI in Aug, fell below in Sep>Oct, rose above in Nov, fell below in Dec>Aug, then passed it in Sep>Oct & Dec. As we drill into the data, all reports will include:

  • A rolling 24 month tracking of the CPI for all pet segments and the national CPI. The base number will be pre-pandemic December 2019 in this and future reports, which will facilitate comparisons.
  • Monthly comparisons of 25 vs 24 which will include Pet Segments and relevant Human spending categories. Plus
    1. CPI change from the previous month.
    2. Inflation changes for recent years (23>24, 22>23, 21>22, 20>21, 19>20, 18>19)
    3. Total Inflation for the current month in 2025 vs 2019 and vs 2021 to see the full inflation surge.
    4. Average annual Year Over Year inflation rate from 2019 to 2025
  • YTD comparisons (December = Annual)
    1. YTD numbers for the monthly comparisons #2>4 above

In our first graph we will track the monthly change in prices for the 24 months from Dec 23 to Dec 25. We will use December 2019 as a base number so we can track the progress from pre-pandemic times through an eventual recovery. This chart is designed to give you a visual image of the flow of pricing. You can see the similarities and differences in segment patterns and compare them to the overall U.S. CPI. The year-end numbers from 2023 and 2024 are included. We also included and highlighted (pink) the cumulative price peak for each segment. In Dec, Pet prices rose +0.8% from Nov. All segments were up: Food (+0.2%). Supplies (+0.9%), Vet (+2.0%), Services (+0.2%).

In Dec 23, the CPI was +19.4% and Pet was +21.8%. The Services segments inflated after mid-20, while Product inflation stayed low until late 21. In 22, Food prices grew but the others had mixed patterns until July 22, when all rose. In Aug>Oct Petflation took off. In Nov>Dec, Services & Food inflated while Vet & Supplies prices stabilized. In Jan>Apr 23, prices grew every month for all segments except for 1 Supplies dip. In May Product prices grew while Services slowed. In Jun/Jul this reversed. In Aug all but Services fell. In Sep/Oct this flipped. In Nov, all but Food & Vet fell. In Dec, Supp. & Vet  drove prices up. In Jan>Mar 24 prices grew. In April, prices in all but Vet fell. In May, all but Food grew. In June, Products drove a lift. In July, all but Services fell. In Aug, Food drove a drop. In Sep, Products fueled a drop. In Nov all were up. Prices dropped in Mar & Oct>Nov 25, but all but Food set records in Dec.

  • U.S. CPI – The inflation rate was below 2% through 2020. It turned up in January 21 and continued to grow until flattening out in Jul>Dec 22. Prices rose Jan>Sep 23, fell Oct>Dec, rose Jan>Oct 24, fell Nov, rose Dec>Sep 25 to a record high, then slowed. but 26.1% of the increase since Dec 19 happened from Jan>Jun 22 – 8.3% of the time.
  • Pet Food – Prices were at the Dec 19 level Apr 20>Sep 21. They grew & peaked May 23, then got on a roller coaster. In 25 Jan>Feb, Mar>May, Jun>Jul, Aug, Sep↔, Oct>Nov , Dec . 99% of the lift was in 22/23.
  • Pet Supplies – Supplies prices were high in Dec 19 due to tariffs. They had a deflated roller coaster ride until mid-21 when they returned to Dec 19 prices & stayed there until 22. They turned up in Jan and hit a record high. They plateaued Feb>May, grew in June, flattened in July, then turned up in Aug>Oct to a new record. Prices stabilized Nov>Dec, grew Jan>Feb 23. fell in Mar, but the roller coaster went on. Dec>Feb↑, Mar/Apr, May/Jun, July, Aug, Sep/Oct, Nov/Dec, Jan>Feb 25, Mar>May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct>Nov, Dec(record).
  • Pet Services– Inflation is usually 2+%. Perhaps due to closures, prices increased at a lower rate in 2020. In 2021 consumer demand increased but with fewer outlets. Inflation grew in 21 with the biggest lift in Jan>Apr. Inflation was strong in 22 but prices got on a roller coaster. They turned up Jul>Apr 23, fell May. Jun>Aug, Sep>Dec, Jan>Mar 24, Apr, May, Jun, Jul>Nov, Dec>Mar 25, Apr>Aug, Sep, Oct>Dec(record).
  • Veterinary – Inflation has been consistent. Prices turned up in Mar 20 and grew through 21. A surge began in Dec 21 which put them above the overall CPI. In May 22 prices fell and stabilized in June causing them to fall below the CPI. However, they rose again & have been above the CPI since July 22. In 23>25 prices grew Jan>May, level Jun/Jul, fell Aug, grew Sep>Dec, fell Jan, grew Feb>May, fell Jun>Jul, grew Aug 24>Sep 25, fell Oct>Nov, grew Dec. (record)
  • Total Pet – Petflation is a sum of the segments. In Dec 21 the price surge began. In Mar>Jun 22 the segments had ups & downs, but Petflation grew Jul>Nov, slowed in Dec, grew Jan>May 23, fell Jun>Aug, grew Sep/Oct, then fell in Nov. In December prices grew through Mar 24 to a record high. Prices fell in April, rose May>Jun, fell Jul>Sep, rose Oct>Nov, fell Dec, rose Jan>Feb 25, fell Mar, grew Apr>Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec (record)

Next, we’ll turn our attention to the Year Over Year inflation rate change for December and compare it to last month, last year and to previous years. We will also show total inflation from 21>25 & 19>25. Petflation rose from 2.5% to 3.5% in Sep then fell to 2.6% in Nov. In Dec it is again 3.5% and is now 29.6% above the National rate. The chart will allow you to compare the inflation rates of 24>25 to 23>24 and other years but also see how much of the total inflation since 2019 came from the current surge. We’ve included some human categories to put the pet numbers into perspective.

Overall, prices were down -0.02% from Nov and were +2.7% vs Dec 24, the same as last month. Grocery prices rose 0.5% and the CPI rose from 1.9% to 2.4%. The only price decrease from last month was in the National CPI. In Nov there were 6 drops – a big change. The national YOY monthly CPI rate of 2.7% is 7% below 23>24, 21% below 22>23 and 58% less than 21>22. The 24>25 rate is only below 23>24 for Pet Services and Pet Supplies. In our 2021>2025 measurement you also can see that over 75% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 has occurred in 4 segments, Total & all Pet segments but Services. Except for Pet & Vet Services, where prices have surged, Service Segments have generally had higher inflation rates so there was a smaller pricing lift in the recent surge. Pet Products have a very different pattern. The 21>25 inflation surge provided 94% of their overall inflation since 2019. This happened because Pet Products prices in 2021 were starting to recover from a deflationary period. Services expenditures account for 63.8% of the National CPI so they are very influential. Their current CPI is +3.3% while the CPI for Commodities is 1.7%. This shows that Services are driving most of the current 2.7% inflation but Commodities did drive the small price drop from November. There is an even greater disparity in Pet, but products have a bigger share of $. Petflation is 3.5%. The combined CPI for the Service Segments is 6.2%, while the Pet Products CPI is 1.3%.

  • U.S. CPI– Prices are -0.02% from Nov. The YOY rate was stable at 2.7%. It peaked at +9.1% back in June 2022. The targeted inflation rate is <2% so we are 35+% higher than the target. The stability follows Oct>Nov drops, Apr>Sep lifts, Feb/Mar drops, 4 straight lifts and 6 consecutive drops from Apr>Sep 24. The current rate is below 23>24 and the 21>25 rate is still +16.2%, 62% of the total inflation since 2019. Inflation took off in Apr 21, +4.2%, up from 2.6%.
  • Pet Food– Prices are +0.2% vs Nov but +1.2% vs Dec 24. Prices have inflated for 6 straight months, but they are still far below the Food at Home inflation rate of +2.4%. The YOY Pet Food CPI has deflated in 15 of the last 22 months. The 2021>2025 inflation surge has generated 91.5% of the 22.3% inflation since 2019. Inflation began for Pet Food in June 2021, +0.9%, after 12 straight deflationary months.
  • Food at Home – Prices are +0.5% from Nov and the YOY increase rose to 2.4% from 1.9%. This is still radically lower than Jul>Sep 2022 when it exceeded 13%. The 30.6% Inflation for this category since 2019 is 17% more than the national CPI but only in 4th place behind 3 Services expenditures (2 Pet). 58.8% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>25. This is close to the national CPI rate, but we should note that Grocery prices began inflating in 2020>21 then the rate accelerated. It appears that the pandemic supply chain issues in Food which contributed to higher prices started early and foreshadowed problems in other categories and the overall CPI surge.
  • Pets & Supplies– Prices were +0.9% from Nov and the CPI rose to 0% from +0.3%. They still have the lowest rate vs 2019. Prices were deflated for much of 20>21. As a result, the 21>25 inflation surge accounted for 100% of the total price increase since 2019. Prices deflated after Oct 22. 3 lifts pushed them to a record high in Feb 23. Prices fell in March & the roller coaster continued. Prices grew Dec>Feb 24, fell Mar/Apr, rose May/Jun, fell July, rose Aug, fell Sep/Oct, rose Nov/Dec, fell Jan/Feb 25, rose Mar>May, fell Jun, rose Jul, fell Aug, rose Sep, fell Oct>Nov, rose Dec.
  • Veterinary Services– Prices are +2.0% from Nov and their YOY CPI vs 24 rose to +7.1% from +5.4%. They remain #1 in inflation vs 24 and are still the leader since 2019 with +48.8% and since 2021, +37.0%. For Veterinary, high annual inflation is the norm. However, the rate has increased during the current surge, especially since 23. They have the highest rate in 25, and 76% of the cumulative inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>25.
  • Medical Services – Prices turned sharply up at the start of the pandemic but then inflation slowed and fell to a low rate in 20>21. Prices were up +0.3% from Nov, but inflation vs 24 slowed to +3.4% from +3.7%. Medical Services are becoming a bigger part of the current surge as now 64.9% of the 16.8%, 2019>25 increase happened from 21>25.
  • Pet Services – Inflation slowed in 20 but grew in 21. In 24 prices surged Jan>Mar, fell April, rose May, fell Jun, rose Jul>Nov, fell Dec>Mar 25 to 3.9%. Apr grew, May fell, June rose, Jul rose to 6.3%. Inflation fell to 5.8% in Aug & continued down to 4.2% in Nov. In Dec it rose to 5.0%. They are #2 vs 24, 21 & 19. 72% of their 19>25 inflation is from 21>25. In Dec 23, it was 49%.
  • Haircuts/Other Personal Services – Prices are +0.7% from Nov and +4.8% from Dec 24. 17 of the last 24 months have been 4.0+%. Inflation has been pretty consistent. 63.6% of the 19>25 inflation happened 21>25.
  • Total Pet– Petflation returned to 3.5% from 2.6%. Vet (+7.1%) led the way but all segments had increased inflation. 3.5% is 75% more than the 23>24 rate and 29.6% above the U.S. CPI. Plus, 3.5% is 13% above the average Dec Total Pet rate since 1997. Dec prices rose +0.8% from Nov, and it was universal – all segments had a Nov>Dec increase. A Nov>Dec increase has happened in 65% of the years since 1997 (avg Chge: +0.16%). The Pet CPI rose from 2.6% to 3.5%, a 35% increase. Another factor enhancing the big CPI lift was that prices fell -0.2% in Nov>Dec 24. Pricing is very important in Retail Sales, but the CPI is a complex measurement.

Now, let’s look at the YTD numbers.

The 24>25 rate is lower than 23>24 for all, but Medical Services & Groceries. The 22>23 inflation rate was the highest for Pet Food & Vet. 21>22 has the highest rate for Pet Supplies, Total Pet, Groceries, Haircuts and the National CPI. 23>24 has the highest rate for Pet Services. The average national inflation in the 6 years since 2019 is 3.9%. Only 3 of the categories are below that rate – Medical Services (2.8%), Pet Supplies (1.9%) and Pet Food (3.5%). It is no surprise that Veterinary Services has the highest average rate (6.6%), but all 4 other categories are +4.3% or higher.

  • U.S. CPI – The 24>25 rate is 2.7%, down 7% from 23>24, but it is down 34% from 22>23, 66.3% less than 21>22 and 30.8% below the average increase from 2019>2025. However, it’s still 80% more than the average increase from 2018>20. 73% of the 26.0% inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>25. Inflation is a problem that started recently.
  • Pet Food – Ytd prices are still deflating, -0.01%, up from -0.1% in Aug and significantly up from -1.1% in Jan. That’s a big change from 0.2% in 23>24, 10.6% in 22>23 and even the 1.5% 18>20 average. It’s even below 20>21. Pet Food has the highest 22>23 rate but is only #4 in the 21>25 rates. Deflation in the 1st half of 2021 kept YTD prices low then they surged in 22 and especially in 23. 96% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>25.
  • Food at Home – The 25 inflation rate is +83% vs the 23>24 rate, but at 2.2%, it is down 56% from 22>23, 81% from 21>22 and even 37% less than 20>21. Plus, it is now equal to the average rate from 2018>20. It is only in 4th place for the highest inflation since 2019 but still beat the U.S. CPI by 13.8%. You can see the impact of supply chain issues on the Grocery category as 71% of the inflation since 2019 occurred from 2021>25.
  • Pets & Pet Supplies – A true roller coaster, prices rose Jan>Feb 24, fell Mar>Apr, rose May>Jun, fell July, rose Aug, fell Sep>Oct, rose Nov>Dec, fell Jan>Feb 25, then rose Mar>May. Prices vs 24 flipped from inflation to deflation in June, back to +0.7% in July, slowed to 0.0% in Aug, then rose Sep>Dec. Supplies still have the lowest inflation since 2019. Their biggest YOY lifts since 2019 were in 22 & 23. The 2021 deflation created an unusual situation. Prices are up 11.8% from 2019 but 104% of this lift happened from 21>25. Prices are up 12.3% from their 2021 “bottom”.
  • Veterinary Services – Inflation was high in 2019 and steadily grew until it took off in late 2022. The rate may have peaked in 2023, but it is still going strong in 2025, +6.4%, the highest on the chart. They are also #1 in inflation since 2019 and since 2021. At +6.6%, they have the highest average inflation rate since 2019. It is 69% higher than the National Average but 2.4 times higher than the Inflation average for Medical Services. Strong Inflation is the norm in Veterinary Services.
  • Medical Services – Prices went up significantly at the beginning of the pandemic, but inflation slowed in 2021. In 2025 it is 3.4%, 21% above the 2.8% 2019>25 average rate. We should also note that 3.4% is obviously radically higher than the -0.3% deflation in 22>23.
  • Pet Services – After falling in late 2023, prices surged in 2024, then fell in 2025 until an Apr>Aug lift followed by a Sep>Nov dip and a Dec lift. The 24>25 5.1% CPI is 2nd, behind Veterinary on the chart. It is their lowest rate since 20/21, but it is double their 2018>20 2.5% average rate. Pet Services is also 2nd in both 19>25 and 21>25 inflation.
  • Haircuts & Personal Services – The services segments, essential & non-essential, were hit hardest by the pandemic. The industry responded by raising prices. 2025 inflation is 4.2%, 22% below its 20/21 peak, but 18% above the 18>20 average. Consumers are paying over 30% more than in 2019, which usually reduces the purchase frequency.
  • Total Pet – Petflation is 2.5%, up from 2.4% in Nov, but 4% less than 23>24. However, It’s 4% more than their 18>21 avg but 7% below the CPI. Petflation is still at its lowest rate since early 2021.This was primarily driven by deflation in Pet Products and lower inflation in Services. However, except for Mar/Aug/Oct/Nov, Pet prices have risen in 25.

The Petflation recovery paused in Aug 24, came back Sep>Oct, paused in Nov, resumed in Dec>Jan, paused in Feb, restarted in Mar and paused Apr>Sep. It improved Oct/Nov but paused in Dec. We tend to focus on monthly inflation while ignoring one critical fact. Inflation is cumulative. Pet prices are 24% above 2021 & 29% higher than 2019. Those are big lifts. In fact, Dec prices for all but Food are the highest in history. Note: Pet Food is within 0.8% of its record high. Only Supplies prices (+11.7%) are less than 22.3% higher than 2019. Since price/value is the biggest driver in consumer spending, inflation will affect the Pet Industry. Services will be the least impacted as it is driven by high income CUs. Veterinary will see a reduction in visit frequency. The product segments will see a more complex reaction. Supplies will likely see a reduction in purchase frequency and some Pet Parents may even downgrade their Pet Food. Products will see a strong movement to online purchasing and private label. At SZ and GPE 25, a huge number of exhibitors actively offered their OEM services. Strong, cumulative inflation has a widespread impact, but tarifflation can hit even harder. Supplies would likely be the most impacted by new high tariffs. We’ll see…

 

2024 U.S. PET SERVICES SPENDING $13.65B…Up $0.23B

Except for a small decline in 2017, Non-Vet Pet Services had shown consistent, small annual growth. In 2018, that changed as spending grew a spectacular $1.95B. The number of outlets offering Pet Services has rapidly grown and more consumers have opted for this convenience. However, spending plummeted -$1.73B in 2020 due to COVID closures and restrictions. 21>22 brought a spectacular recovery, $5.47B (+79%). Growth slowed in 23 but especially in 24 +$0.23B (+1.7%) to $13.65B. In this report we will drill down into the data to see what groups drove the small 2024 lift. (Note: All numbers in this report come from or are calculated from data in the US BLS Consumer Expenditure Surveys)

Services’ Spending per CU in 2024 was $100.55, up 0.8% from $99.73 in 2023. Note: A 2024 Pet CU (68%) Spent $147.87

More specifically, the 1.7% increase in Total Pet Services spending came as a result of:

  • 0.9% more CUs
  • Spending 2.5% less $
  • 3.4% more often

The chart below gives a visual overview of recent spending on Pet Services

After the big lift in 2018, spending stabilized in 2019. Increased availability has significantly increased Services spending, despite a return to a normal inflation rate, +2.4%. However, inflation grew to 2.5+% in the 2nd half of 2019 and spending declined slightly. The 2020 pandemic brought restrictions and closures which drove spending radically down. In 21>22 it grew spectacularly despite 4.9% inflation in 21 & 6.3% in 22. In 23, inflation was 5.7% so real growth was only 2.7%. In 24, 7.0% inflation made the 1.7% lift a real -4.9% drop. Let’s look at the demographics of 2024 Services spending.

First, by Income Group.

In 2023 <$50K & $70>100K had big drops. The biggest lifts came from higher incomes, especially $200K> which was up $1.16B. In 2024 the only lifts were by $70>100K and over $150K. The biggest lift was +$0.82B from $150>200K. The 2024 50/50 dividing line in $ for Services was $156K, up from $147K last year and still by far the highest of any industry segment. It is readily apparent that income is overwhelmingly the primary driver in Pet Services spending.

  • <30K (20.1% of CU’s) – $19.06 per CU (-30.5%) – $0.52B, ↓$0.27B (-33.8%) This segment is shrinking and money is tight, so Services spending is less of an option. Inflation was even higher in 24 and spending fell 33.8% to $0.52B.
  • $30>70K (27.6% of CU’s); $44.27 per CU (-11.7%); $1.66B, ↓$0.25B (-13.0%) This low-income group is shrinking but they were the only group to spend more in 2020>23. In 24 their $ dropped. $30>50K: -$0.02B; $50>70K: -$0.23B
  • $70>100K (14.4% of CU’s) – $89.02 per CU (+35.6%) – $1.74B, Up $0.50B (+40.0%) – The spending of this middle income group slowly but consistently grew 2016>19, plummeted in 2020, rebounded somewhat in 2021, then took off in 2022, a 61% lift. In 2023, they had the biggest drop. They fully recovered in 2024 with a +40% lift.
  • $100>150K (16.3% of CU’s) – $117.07 per CU (-10.6%) – $2.59B, ↓$0.34B (-11.8%) They had consistent growth from 2016>19. In 2020 they had the biggest drop. Growth returned 21>23 but their $ fell to the 2022 level in 2024.
  • $150K> (21.7% of CU’s) – $243.03 per CU (-1.3%) – $7.14B, Up $0.59B (+9.0%) – Spending fell 2019>20, then it took off in 21>24. They generate 52% of Services total $ and their CU spending is still over 2.4 times the national average.

Now, let’s look at spending by Age Group.

In 2023 <25, 35>64 & 75> spent more. In 2024 only 25>34, 45>54 & 75> had $ increases. The biggest was from 45>54 as they moved up to #1. The 35>64 age range has the 3 highest income groups and generates 2/3 of all Services spending. Here are the specifics:

  • 45>54 (16.3% of CU’s)- $161.10 per CU (+33.4%) – $3.57B – Up $0.83B (+30.1%) This highest income group was #1 in Services $ in 2019 and held on in 2020 despite a 20% frequency drop. In 2021 they had the only $ drop and fell to #3. In 2022/23 they became #2. In 2024 as 2.4% less CU’s spent 15.9% more $, 15.1% more often, they returned to #1.
  • 55>64 (17.6% of CU’s) $118.58 per CU (-12.0%) – $2.84B – ↓$0.39B (-12.1%) 2017>19 had small A big drop in frequency drove spending down in 2020 but they had a strong recovery 21>23 and took the top spot in Services $ in 2021. They held on in 23 but fell to #2 in 24 as 0.1% less CUs spent 13.8% less $, 2.0% more often.
  • 35>44 (17.9% of CU’s) – $110.61 per CU (-4.0%) – $2.69B – ↓$0.04B (-1.3%) A $1B increase in 2018 pushed them to #1. In 2019>20 spending fell. In 21 they moved up to #2. In 22 $ grew 18% but they fell to #3. In 23 their $ grew but they stayed #3. In 24 2.8% more CU’s spent 7.0% less $, 3.2% more often causing a small drop but they are still #3.
  • 65>74 (16.6% of CU’s) – $71.85 per CU (-26.3%) – $1.62B – ↓$0.48B (-22.9%). This group is very value conscious and growing in size. From 2017>19 their spending was stable. In 2020 it fell 20%. In 2021>22 they came back strong. In 23 spending fell but not as much as the 22.9% drop in 24 when 4.6% more CU’s spent 24.3% less $, 2.6% less often.
  • 75> (11.6% of CU’s) – $65.05 /CU (+25.5%) – $1.03B – $0.22B (+27.1%) They have a big need for pet services, but money is always an issue. In 2019 they had a big lift but gave it back in 2020. In 21>22 spending surged but slowed to +6.2% in 23. In 24, spending jumped up +27.1% as 1.3% more CU’s spent 14.6% more $, 9.5% more often.
  • <25 (4.9% of CU’s) – $10.09 per CU (-63.6%) – $0.07B – ↓$0.10B (-59.4%) After 2018 spending fell and essentially stabilized from 2019>23. In 24 Services $ fell to almost $0 as 10.9% more CUs spent 47.8% less $, 29.9% less often.

Earlier, we saw that income was a big driver in Services spending, so it is no surprise that the 3 highest income age groups, 35>64, account for 66.7% of all Services $. They also have the only performance over 100% ($ share/CU share). 25>34 is close at 90.1%. Pet Services offer great benefits, but you need to have/find the money to get them.

Finally, here are some key demographic “movers” that drove the  lift in Pet Services Spending in 2024. The segments that are outlined in black “flipped” from 1st to last or vice versa from 2023. A red outline stayed the same.

You see slightly less stability in 2024. There were 5 that held their position and 2 flips from last to 1st or vice versa. In 2023, 7 held their position and there were also 2 flips. Also, no categories had no segments that spent less on Services. In 2023 there were 2. In fact, in 2024, 46 of 92 segments (50%) spent more on Services than last year. In 2023 the percentage was 75%. So, 2024 was not as good as 2023 but it wasn’t actually bad. Growth has definitely slowed but it is still happening although not as demographically widespread.

You see from the graph that, 8 of 12 winners’ changes were substantially larger than the losers’. 3 of the demographic categories had losers’ changes that equaled or exceeded the winners’ change. Also, regardless of the demographic category, there was always at least 1 segment that spent less on Services. 2024 was definitely not as good as 2023.

3 of the winners held their spot. Pet Services are a regular part of their Pet Parenting, and its importance continues to grow. The winners also demonstrate the importance of income to Services. While this segment has become more demographically widespread, higher incomes dominate. 7 of the 12 winners are either 1st or 2nd in income in their categories. The only winner that is a true surprise is African Americans – low pet ownership and the lowest income.

Many of the losers are not unexpected. Most have below average income, but some don’t. The 4 biggest surprises are:

•     Self-Employed    •   $100>149K    •    White, Not Hispanic    •   Baby Boomers

We should note that the biggest $ drop was by the Boomers. In 21>23 they increased their Services spending by $1.2B

In 2024, only 50% of demographic segments spent more on Services than in last year. This is down from 75% in 2023 but much better than 21% in 2020. The segment has strongly recovered. However, when you factor 7.0% inflation into the 2024 numbers, the 1.7% lift was really a -4.9% drop and only 13% of demographic segments really bought more Services. The recovery has definitely slowed. There is one spending trend that must be noted. Income continues to be the biggest factor in Services spending and its importance is growing. The 50/50 income dividing line in Services spending is now up to $156,000. That is 50% more than the average CU income and 86% more than the median income. $156K> is 23% of all CUs but accounts for 50% of Services $ and 64% of the $6.7B Services $ increase from 2020.

Overview – After the huge lift in 2018, Services spending plateaued in 2019. That changed with the pandemic in 2020. Like many retail services segments, Pet Services outlets were deemed nonessential and subject to restrictions. This resulted in a radically reduced frequency of visits and was the biggest reason behind the 20% drop in spending.

2021 and 2022 brought a strong recovery with the 2 biggest increases in history. They totaled $5.5B and spending grew by +79.4% from 2020. 2022 Spending was even +41.7% higher than the pre-pandemic peak of $8.72B in 2018. The segments that were hit the hardest by the pandemic generally had the strongest recovery. Both big lifts were largely driven by the same groups, but in 2022, 93% of all segments spent more. With continued high inflation, growth slowed markedly to 8.5% in 2023. 75% of segments had an increase in spending but only 60% had lifts that exceeded the inflation rate. In 2024 the situation worsened. The spending lift slowed to +1.7%. This lift was primarily driven by a 3.4% increase in purchase frequency but only 50% of segments spent more. The inflation rate was 7.0% so the 1.7% lift was really a 4.9% decrease in the amount sold and only 27% “really” bought more. Pet Services have become more important to Pet Parents and the Pet Industry, but growth is increasingly being driven by high income. However, many households still find the $ to fill this need.

 

 

2024 U.S. PET SUPPLIES SPENDING $23.91B…Up $0.89B

Total Pet spending rose to $118.87B in 2024, up $1.27B (+1.1%) from 2023. After a record $8.65B (+57%) increase in 2021 the Supplies segment fell in 22. Recovery began in 23 and continued in 24, up $0.89B (+3.9%) to $23.91B. (Note: All numbers in this report come from or are calculated by using data from the US BLS Consumer Expenditure Surveys)

Supplies Spending fell -$4.6B 2018>20 due to Tarifflation and COVID. In 2021, Pet Parents caught up as spending rose a record $8.65B. In 2022, it plateaued in the 1st half then fell sharply in the 2nd half. 2023 had a 1st half lift & a 2nd half drop. 2024 had a small increase. We’ll drill down into the data to determine what/who drove the 23>24 3.9% lift in Spending.

In 2024, the average household spent $176.15 on Supplies, up 3.0% from $171.08 in 2023. (Note: A 2024 Pet CU (68%) Spent $259.04) The 3.0% CU lift doesn’t exactly match the 3.9% total $ increase. Here are the specific details:

  • 0.9% more CU’s
  • Spent 1.5% less $
  • 4.6% more often

Let’s start with a visual overview. The chart below shows recent Supplies spending history.

Since the great recession, spending in the Supplies segment has been driven by price. Although many supplies are needed by Pet Parents, when they are bought and how much you spend is often discretionary. When prices fall, consumers are more likely to buy more. When they go up, consumers spend less and/or buy less frequently.

2014 was the third consecutive year of deflation in Supplies as prices reached a level not seen since 2007. Consumers responded with a spending increase of over $2B. Prices stabilized and then moved up in 2015.

In 2015 we saw how the discretionary aspect of the Supplies segment can impact spending in another way. Consumers spent $5.4B for a food upgrade and cut back on Supplies – swapping $. Consumers spent 4.1% less, but they bought 10% less often. That drop in purchase frequency drove $1.6B (78%) of the $2.1B decrease in Supplies spending.

In 2016, supplies’ prices flattened out and consumers value shopped for their upgraded food. Supplies spending stabilized and began to increase in the second half. In 2017 supplies prices deflated, reaching a new post-recession low. The consumers responded with a $2.74B increase in Supplies spending that was widespread across demographic segments. An important factor in the lift was an increase in purchase frequency which was within 5% of the 2014 rate.

In 2018 prices started to move up in April and rapidly increased later in the year due to the impact of new tariffs. By December, Supplies prices were 3.3% higher than a year ago. This explains the initial growth and pull back in spending.

In 2019 we saw the full impact of the tariffs. Prices continued to increase. By yearend they were up 5.7% from the Spring of 2018 and spending plummeted -$2.98B. The major factor in the drop was a 13.1% decrease in purchasing frequency.

2020 brought the pandemic. Prices deflated but with retail restrictions and the consumers’ focus on needed items, both the amount spent and frequency of purchase of Supplies fell.

In 2021 the recovery began with a record lift. Pet parents bought all the supplies that they had been putting off for 2 years. 2021 spending ended up where it was headed in 2018 before being “derailed” by outside influences. In 2022 inflation took off and spending fell -$1.87B. In 2023 spending increased, primarily because of inflation which slowed in the 2nd half. In 2024 inflation slowed to 0.9% from 2.6% in 2023. Although YOY inflation slowed significantly, retail prices were at a record high. This was a factor in the small 3.9% lift.

That gives us an overview of the recent spending history. Now let’s look at some specifics regarding the “who” behind the 2024 lift. First, we’ll look at spending by income level, the most influential demographic in Pet Spending.

National: $176.15 per CU (+3.0%) – $23.91B – Up $0.89B (+3.9%).

$ for the $30>70K group were unchanged but only <$30K spent less. The 50/50 $ divide moved up to $120K from $117K.

  • <$30K (20.1% of CUs)- $70.75 per CU (+3.5%); $1.93B– Down $0.03B (-1.4%). This group is very price sensitive, but they still need Supplies. Their Total Supplies $ only fell because they have 4.8% fewer CUs.
  • $30K>70K (27.6% of CUs)- $119.61 /CU (+1.5%); $4.48B – No Chg $0.00 (0.0%). This lower income group matches the spending pattern of the $150K+ group. 2019 Tarifflation and 2022 inflation had big impacts. 23>24 $ were unchanged. $30>50K were down, but $50>70K was up. <2019 they were the leader in Supplies $. Now, they’re 3rd.
  • $70>$100K (14.4% of CUs) – $179.76 per CU (-0.2%); $52B – Up $0.10B (+3.0%). Lift due to 3.3% more CUs. Consistent spending until 2020 hit them hard. They rebounded strong in 2021 and spending grew slightly in 22>24.
  • $100K>$150K (16.3% of CUs) – $231.93 /CU (+8.0%); $5.13B – Up $0.32B (+6.6%). They had the 2nd biggest COVID drop and the 2nd biggest recovery. In 22, they had a 14.0% lift. In 23 their $ fell 3% but they came back +6.6% in 24.
  • $150K> (21.7% of CUs) – $301.53 per CU (-4.1%); $8.86B – Up $0.50B (+6.0%). This highest income group often has the biggest drops and lifts. In 23 they provided 93% of the Supplies lift. This came from 12.3% more CUs. In 24, the situation was similar. 10.5% more CUs spent 4.1% less but provided 56% of the Supplies increase.

With high prices, income matters. Only $70K> spent more but 92.1% of the overall lift came from $100K>.

Now, we’ll look at spending by Age Group.

National: $176.15 per CU (+3.0%) – $23.91B – Up $0.89B (+3.9%)

In 2024 the age group spending rollercoaster got simpler. Under 35: ↓; 35>44: ↑; 45>54: ↓; Over 55: ↑

  • 45>54 (16.3% of CUs) $238.59 per CU (+0.3%); $5.29BDown $0.12B (-2.2%). From 2007>18 & in 23/24 this highest income group was the leader in Supplies $. They had a pandemic drop but strong growth in 21>23. The lift ended in 2024 as 2.4% less CU’s spent 11.5% less, 13.4% more often. However, they stayed #1 in $.
  • 35>44 (17.9% of CUs) $214.02/ CU (+13.1%) $5.20B – $0.73B (+16.3%) They are #2 in income & expenditures. Inflation drove their $ down in 2019 but COVID had little impact. Spending took off in 21, fell in 22, then grew slightly in 23 & strongly in 24 as 2.8% more CUs spent 2.6% more $, 10.3% more often. They are still #2 in $.
  • 55>64 (17.6% of CUs) $197.62 /CU (+7.8%); $4.73B – Up $0.34B (+7.8%). Tarriflation caused a spending drop in 2019. Spending fell in 2020 as they binge bought pet food. They had a strong recovery in 21. Growth slowed in 22. $ fell in 23 but rose in 24 as 0.1% less CUs spent 13.4% more on Supplies, 4.9% less often. They stayed #3.
  • 65>74 (16.6% of CUs) $151.90 per CU (+4.5%); $3.43B – Up $0.29B (+9.4%). This older group is very price sensitive so rising prices caused them to cut back on spending in 2019. Like the 25>34 yr-olds, they also increased spending in 2020 and spending soared in 2021. However, unlike the 25>34 yr-olds and despite high prices, their spending grew in 22>23 and even more in 24 as 4.6% more CUs spent 2.3% more, 2.2% more often.
  • 25<34 (15.0% of CUs) $155.96 per CU (-5.7%); $3.17BDown $0.32B (-9.1%). After trading Supplies $ for upgraded Food and Vet Care in 2016, these Millennials turned their attention back to Supplies. Tarriflation hit them hard in 2019 but they actually increased spending in the pandemic. The lift grew even stronger in 2021 but then spending fell slightly in 22>23 and even more in 24 as 3.5% less CUs spent 11.5% less $, 6.5% more often.
  • 75> (11.6% of CUs) $99.87 per CU (+42.1%); $1.58B – Up $0.48B (+44.0%). This low-income group is price sensitive but they are committed to their pets. Their spending was severely impacted by COVID but they strongly recovered in 21/22. Their $ fell in 23 but spiked in 24 as 1.3% more CU’s spent 25.0% more, 13.7% more often.
  • <25 (4.9% of CUs) $78.51/CU (-54.5%) $0.53B – Down $0.52B (-49.5%). It looks like they cut their Supplies spending in every possible way in 2024 as 10.9% more CUs spent 41.9% less $, 21.6% less often.

Supplies spending was again on an age roller-coaster but the most notable trend may be that <35 spent $0.84B less.

Next, let’s take a look at some other key demographic “movers” in 2024 Pet Supplies Spending. The segments that are outlined in black “flipped” from 1st to last or vice versa from 2023. The red outline stayed the same.

In 2024, even with only a small increase, 64.1% of segments still spent more. In 2023 it was 66%. There was again 1 Category  in which all spent more, Race/Ethnic. In 2023 it was Housing. In 2024 there were 11 “flips” but none that held their spot. In 2023 there were 9 “flips” and 5 “holdovers”. 2024 clearly had more turmoil and less stability than 2023.

5 winners are the “usual suspects”:  • Masters/Phd.    • $200K>    • 2 Earners    • Mgrs/Profess.    • Suburbs 2500>

4 are surprising:  • 4 People    • South    • Homeowner w/o Mtge    • Hispanics

Among the losers, most often show up here. There are only 2 big surprises:  • $150>199K    • Married, Couple Only

After the post pandemic binge buy in 21, Supplies spending fell $1.86B (-7.8%) in 22. This was not surprising after the record $8.65B lift. It is very similar to the binge/bust pattern in Food. Although spending fell by $1.9B, 52% of 92 demographic segments spent more on Supplies. In 23 spending grew $1.08B (+4.9%) as 65.6% of demographics spent more. In 24 spending was +$0.89B (+3.9%) and the demographic spending lift was 64.1%. There is a key factor to put Supplies spending in a better perspective. Many Supplies cartegories have been commoditized and are more susceptible to price changes. Prices fell 2016>18 and spending grew by $5B. Prices rose in 2018>19 and spending fell -$4.6B. In 22 inflation was 7.7%. That means that the amount of Supplies purchased in 22 was “really” -14.4%, almost double the actual $ drop. In 23 Supplies spending grew by $1.08B (+4.9%). Inflation was 2.6% so the “real” lift was +2.3%. (47% real) In 24 inflation slowed to 0.9% but spending was only up $0.89B (+3.9%). The “real” lift was 2.9% (75% real). Supplies are more discretionary, but many are needed for a better life. Supplies spending is moving to higher incomes but perhaps Pet Parents are becoming less sensitive to the high prices from cumulative inflation. We’ll see.